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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

APRIL FOOLISH PREDICTIONS!  

Tier 1 Prediction

Gary Oldman
59 yrs old | 54 films | 1 nomination
THE DARKEST HOUR
Nov 24th

The surest thing this year... on paper that is. Oldman as Churchill. They love a "transformation"

Hugh Jackman
48 yrs old | 30 films | 1 nomination
THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
Dec 25th

If he's as strong here as he was in Logan, they'll want to honor him. And Logan success will only help

Michael Fassbender
40 yrs old | 29 films | 2 nominations
THE SNOWMAN
Oct 13th

Oscar loves themselves alcoholic characters and if the film is high quality, he could return to the shortlist

Andrew Garfield
33 yrs old | 11 films | 1 nomination
BREATHE
Oct 13th

Oscar loves a disability. And it's not uncommon to have someone from the previous year repeating in the nominee pool

Jake Gyllenhaal
36 yrs old | 33 films | 1 nomination)
STRONGER
Sept 22nd

Another biographical piece. Oscar owes Jake and he's playing a victim of the Boston Marathon bombing struggling to recover when he loses his legs.

 
Tier 2 - Or maybe it will be...

Daniel Day-Lewis
59 yrs old | 21 films | 5 noms | 3 wins)
UNTITLED PTA FILM
Dec 25th

Another likely thing... on paper. But Day-Lewis isn't nominated for every role. We still know so little about the film. Daniel Day Lewis as fashion designer feels... I dunno. I worry.

Benedict Cumberbatch
40 yrs old | 24 films | 1 nomination
THE CURRENT WAR
Dec 22nd

Not every famous actor playing a famous real life character can be nominated in any given year. There are too many films like this. Still, he'll be considered.

Chadwick Boseman
40 yrs old | 9 films | never nominated
MARSHALL
Oct 13th

If the movie resonates or is a big hit, it's easy to picture the Black Panther being rubber stamped by the Academy before his big blockbuster

Colin Farrell
40 yrs old | 41 films | never nominated
THE KILLING OF A SACRED DEER
Nov 3rd

He's already proven he totally gets Yorgos Lanthimos. Could the film be well received enough for acting nominations?

Jamie Bell
31 yrs old | 20 films | never nominated
FILM STARS DON'T DIE IN LIVERPOOL
tba

Playing a young man who becomes close to a dying movie star (Annette Bening as Gloria Grahame), this should be a smashing duet 

 
Tier 3- Could be Contenders

Miles Teller
30 yrs old | 16 films | never nominated
THANK YOU FOR YOUR SERVICE
Oct 27th

Teller isn't universally loved but all it takes is the right role and some good luck. Will this PTSD drama win great reviews?

John Boyega
25 yrs old | 7 films | never nominated
DETROIT
Aug 4th

Though the riot drama doesn't seem like an "actor's movie" you never know. And there's Star Wars to boost his nomination time visibility

Idris Elba
44 yrs old | 36 films | never nominated
THE MOUNTAIN BETWEEN US
Oct 20th

It's tough for men to be nominated for romantic dramas. But if it's a suprise hit or if his chemistry with Kate is electric...

Timothée Chalamet
21 yrs old | 9 films | never nominated
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Nov 24th

He's already won "revelatory" style raves for his sexual awakening. But Oscar almost never goes for actors this young, or romantic dramas (for men)

Tom Hanks
60 yrs old | 5 noms | 2 wins
THE POST
tba

If it's completed in time he could be a hot contender. On the other hand, Oscar keeps passing on him even with high profile films, still. 

Tier 4 - But it's too early to rule any of these out

Domhnall Gleeson
33 yrs old | 23 films | never nominated
GOODBYE CHRISTOPHER ROBIN
Nov 10th

Our suspicion is that Gleeson is going to need a "near miss" performance before he builds enough momentum for a nod. But he is playing a real person (AA Milne) and that goes a long way

Matt Damon
46 yrs old | 52 films | 3 noms *for acting
DOWNSIZING
Dec 22nd

Alexander Payne movies tend to have strong performances. But satire can be tough to sell and is rarley Oscar bait.

Billy Howle
27 yrs old | 3 films | never nominated
ON CHESIL BEACH
tba

This drama about newlyweds (Saoirse Ronan his new wife) might be great. But who knows... He's currently unknown to them so it'll have to be big critically.

Steve Carell
54 yrs old | 29 films | 1 nomination
BATTLE OF THE SEXES
Sept 22nd

If Emma's Billy Jean King is a more substantial part he might be supporting as her rival but we'll see.

Joaquin Phoenix
42 yrs old | 30 films | 3 nominations
YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE
tba

Lynne Ramsay movies have been too difficult for Oscar voters so far. And this sex trafficking drama might be too wrenching for them.

 
Tier 5 - Other Male Leads
  • Daniel Craig - KINGS
  • Daniel Kaluuya - GET OUT
  • Hugh Jackman - LOGAN
  • Colin Farrel - THE BEGUILED
  • Colin Firth - THE MERCY
  • Jonathan Pryce - THE WIFE
  • Charlie Plummer - LEAN ON PETE
  • Demetrius Shipp Jr - ALL EYEZ ON ME
  • Donald Sutherland - THE LEISURE SEEKER