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The Goddesses of the Race?
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Jennifer Lawrence
1 nomination
THE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Why?
Big years can often win you instant traction. If she's great as the severely depressed Tiffany, awards attention will follow.
But...
Overexposure this year? That's also possible
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Anne Hathaway
1 nomination
LES MISERABLES
Why?
She's dreamed a dream of Oscar just once (Rachel Got Married) but this role, a downtrodden prostitute mother is dreamy and her voice is spectacular.
But...
She'll only be in half the movie. You'll have to feel her absence.
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Kerry Washington
never nominated
DJANGO UNCHAINED
Why?
It's a key role -- she plays the woman Django is out to rescue from an evil plantation owner -- and this actress deserves a big break.
But...
She's already gone TV series lead so it's now or never.
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Vanessa Redgrave
6 nominations | 1 win
A SONG FOR MARION
Why?
Last time she was up for an Oscar she was playing a dying woman who was a catalyst for someone else's emotional journey. Same thing here.
But...
after last year's snub for a statue worthy performance you have to wonder what it will take...
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Pauline Collins
1 nomination
QUARTET
Why?
Just a hunch that actors will love the movie and that it will be juicy scenery chewing from the quartet of former nominees (well, most of them) playing retired opera singers
But...
she hasn't been on their radar since the late 80s.
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Ladies in Waiting ?
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Olivia Williams
never nominated
HYDE PARK ON HUDSON
Why?
She's definitely in the prime of her actressy powers these past few years.
But...
will anyone notice? or is this role too wifey simple?
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Amy Adams
3 nominations
THE MASTER
Why?
AMPAS loves her and PT Anderson movies often have great roles
But...
his last movie had no room for women. Will this role have any heft?
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Annette Bening
4 nominations
IMOGENE
Why?
Her career is definitely in a sweet spot and this is another showy role as Wiig's trashy mom. The Bening excels at comedy.
But...
comedy is comedy. It's harder to win traction for those.
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Helena Bonham Carter
2 nominations
GREAT EXPECTATIONS
Why?
Miss Havisham is a famous literary character -- if she's great in it, expect attention.
But...
unless the film as a whole doesn't connect. And it's worth noting that Oscar prefers her out of weirdo mode.
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Jacki Weaver
1 nomination
THE SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
Why?
This looks like a great role and David O' Russell movies are generally super playgrounds for actors.
But...
internal competition from the hottest rising star.
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Wild Cards?
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Nicole Kidman
3 nominations | 1 win
THE PAPERBOY
Why?
Her role as a seductive trashy woman with a thing for convicts will certainly get people talking...
But...
will they say nice things? She's always so divisive.
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Samantha Barks
never nominated
LES MISERABLES
Why?
She's one of the only stage performers transferring and Eponine is a key part with big songs.
But...
in a sea of movie stars, she'll have to nail it and win "MORE SAMANTHA!" type reviews
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Sally Field
2 noms | 2 wins
LINCOLN
Why?
She's Mary Todd Lincoln, a famously complicated First Lady.
But...
even in baity roles (like Forrest Gump & Steel Magnolias) Oscar has passed since her double win.
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Amanda Seyfried
never nominated
LES MISERABLES
Why?
She's a sorta bankable young beauty and the shiny gold man has a thing for those.
But...
this movie is awfully crowded with supporting actresses. She'll have to stand out.
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Olivia Colman
never nominated
HYDE PARK ON HUDSON
Why?
She plays the Queen of England and few groups of people love British royalty more than the Academy.
But...
it's an ensemble and bigger stars are in the mix.
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It's Foolish To Predict in April. Anything Can Happen!
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 Other Possibly Key Supporting Performances (How Big/Good Are The Roles/Turns?)
<-- WHAT MAISIE KNEW - Onata Aprile (probably a lead role but she's young so supporting it is...)... also Julianne Moore (if she goes supporting. But surely someone will be bumped up to lead and it won't be a little kid)
THE MASTER - Laura Dern
EFFIE - Emma Thompson & Claudia Cardinale & Julie Walters
ANNA KARENINA - Olivia Wiliiams & Emily Watson & Kelly Macdonald & Alicia Vikander
GANGSTER SQUAD - Mirielles Enos & Emma Stone
JESSICA CHASTAIN IN GENERAL - Lawless, Zero Dark Thirty, Untitled Terence Malick Project, Tar... (yes she's got another handful of movies coming out. All this plus a lead role in Mama)
SAVAGES - Salma Hayek & Blake Lively
STOKER - Nicole Kidman & Jacki Weaver
PEOPLE LIKE US - Michelle Pfeiffer & Olivia Wilde
DARK SHADOWS - Helena Bonham Carter & Eva Green
TO ROME WITH LOVE - Penélope Cruz, Ellen Page & Judy Davis
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85th Oscars. Oscar Race for the Films of 2012