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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog 

THE NOMINEES ARE...

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Nominees

The Big Sick
Kumail Nanjiani & Emily V Gordon
1st nomination!


Previous wins: Tar Heel, 

Get Out
Jordan Peele
1st nomination for writing!

Previous wins: LAFCA  , Gotham, Critics Choice,  BFCC, BOFCA, COFCA, CFCA, DFCS, FFCC, KCFCC, NYFCO, NCFCA, OFCC, OFCS, PFCC, PCC, SDFCS, SFFCC, SEFCA, UFCA, VFCC, 

Lady Bird
Greta Gerwig
1st nomination for writing!


Previous wins: NSFC, BSFC, DFWFCA, HFCS, IFJA, Elaine May Award, PCC, Seattle, UFCA, Woman Storyteller, 

Shape of Water
Guillermo del Toro (2nd nomination for writing), Vanessa Taylor, Daniel Kraus (1st nominations!)

Previous wins: SLFCA

Three Billboards...
Martin McDonagh
(2nd nomination for writing)

Previous wins: Venice
Globe, AACTA, DFCS, Sierra, NFCS, PCC, PFCS, UFCA

 

WHO SHOULD WIN?

 

TRIVIA
We have 5 first time nominees and two returning writing nominees (del Toro and McDonagh). Three of the seven are women which is much closer to gender parity than usual.

 
WHO WAS LEFT OUT?
Last minute releases worked in some categories but not here where I Tonya, Phantom Thread and The Post were all shut out despite rising buzz. And is it weird that Cannes screenplay winner Killing of a Sacred Deer or the Palme d'or winner The Square never made inroads here?
 
WHO WILL WIN?
Recent Best Picture wins for Three Billboards suggest that Martin McDonagh is headed for his second Oscar (his first was for Best Live Action Short) but, real talk, shouldn't this race be a dead heat between Get Out and Lady Bird both of which do difficult undervalued subgenres (sociological thriller satire / high school angst coming-of-age) with true inspiration and singular POV
 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Nominees

 

Call Me By Your Name
James Ivory
1st nomination for writing! (3 previous nominations for directing)

Adapting the novel by André Aciman

Previous wins:
Critics Choice, CFCA, DFCS, FFCC, KCFCC, Sierra, OFCC, OFCS, SFFCC, SEFCA

Disaster Artist
Scott Neustadter & Michael Weber (1st nominations!)

Adapting from the book by Greg Sestero and Tommy Wiseau

 Previous wins:
NBR, Capri, Hollywood Film Award, NFCS, PFCS, SDFCS, SLFCA

Logan 
Scott Frank (2nd nominations), James Mangold and Michael Green 1st nominations!

Previous wins:
IFJA, KCFCC, 

Molly's Game
Aaron Sorkin
(3 noms | 1 win) 

Adapting the memoir by Molly Bloom

Previous wins:
NCFCA

Mudbound
Dee Rees and Virgil Williams 1st nominations!


Adapting the book by Hillary Jordan

Previous wins:
Black Film Critics Circle, COFCA, WAFCA 

 

WHO SHOULD WIN?

 

TRIVIA

Logan marks the very first writing nomination for a live-action superhero movie! (The first superhero movie so honored was Pixar's The Incredibles).

Call Me By Your Name is director James Ivory's first nomination in this category. Though we suspect people think of him as a writer/director, his own incredible literary films were always written by the now deceased Ruth Prawer Jhabvala

 

• Dee Rees (Mudbound) is only the second black woman ever nominated for writing at the Oscars and the first in this particular category.

 
WHO WAS LEFT OUT?
Scripter nominees Lost City of Z and Wonder Woman, BAFTA nominee Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool, and Critics choice nominee Wonder. And excuse us but how did Lady Macbeth go through this season with no one even mentioning it given the relative emptiness of this category in comparison to other years.
 
WILL WIN / SHOULD WIN:
James Ivory is one of the 20th century's greatest filmmakers and he's nearly 90. If Oscar doesn't take this great opportunity to honor him with a win now for his very smart adaptation of the seemingly unfilmable Call Me By Your Name, we will rage.