by Nathaniel R
Are you biting your nails yet? No prediction for this year's Best Actress shortlist can come without some degree of "I could be getting this very wrong!" nerves. We've been Oscar watching for a long time and it's genuinely never looked this open this late in the game (with the possible exception of 2003 but for nearly the opposite reason). If Best Actress is not a five-way lock up by now (and it often is) it's usually at least settled but for a minor battle between two women for the "just happy to be nominated" fifth spot. This year is different. Seven women remain strong and precursor supported and virtually any combination of five names seems possible as long as you include both Emma Stone (with the reliable boost of leading a Best Picture frontrunner) and Natalie Portman (with the reliable boost of Oscar's deep-deep love for mimicry).
We always believed that Isabelle Huppert was a genuine threat for a Best Actress nomination this season for her phenomenal star turn in Elle. It wasn't so much that Elle, in which she plays a video game enterpeneur who becomes obsessed with her rapist, was a a fresh look at an old star (against type) or right in Oscar's wheel house (a dark comedy about rape. LOL, no). The appeal instead is that in Elle is a suffusion of everything that's special about Huppert: her superior intellect, fascinating opacity, tortured psychology, and her daring sexuality. Oscar would be wise to pounce in a year where the media has been this celebratory about her unique place in the cinematic landscape. 'It's time!' feelings don't generally come around all that often for true iconoclasts or women of a certain age. She's both so they must act now.
Here's another far more superficial but still excellent reason why Isabelle Huppert needs to be nominated...
All of her true peers have been! While France reliably turns out fine actors and charimastic stars, the bonafide international movie queens are a finite glorious batch and from the last 50 years of cinema (from the late 60s to the present so post-Caron/Moreau/Bardot), they number only five: CATHERINE DENEUVE who ascended in the late 60s, ISABELLE HUPPERT and ISABELLE ADJANI who both emerged in the 70s, JULIETTE BINOCHE who broke through in the 90s, and MARION COTILLARD in the Aughts.
You can make arguments for the importance of other Gallic actresses, too, (one of our favorite pasttimes) but the cultural fact is that they just never quite ascended globally or stayed internationally vivid in the way this quintet indisputably did. A sad but correctable truth: Huppert is the only one of these five women that has not been honored by Oscar.
I sense that you want yet more lists. We are always here for that...
Oscar's Most Celebrated French Actors of All Time (1927-2015)
English language performances unless otherwise noted
In Comparison - César's Most Celebrated Actors (1976-2015)
A few more internationally reknowned French actors of note (though not ranked as others only famous in France may have had more attention)
P.S. Kristin Scott Thomas and Charlotte Rampling, two actors that are sometimes thought of as French given their multilingual filmographies and personal lives, are actually British. Charlotte has 4 César nominations, an Honorary César and 1 Oscar nomination. Kristin has 3 César nominations and 1 Oscar nomination.
P.P.S. For those curious about how French actors have such high nomination and win totals given only a 40 year history, there are two reasons. The first is a smaller pool of stars getting the roles. The second is that they two additional acting categories "Most Promising Actress" and "Most Promising Actor" which can greatly help your vote tally partially because you don't necessarily graduate out of those categories after one breakthrough. You can be nominated in multiple years as "promising". We're not sure how they define when you have officially delivered on that promise and then cut you off.