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I used to call this day my Christmas but I worry about coal in the stocking. Did we receive Oscar nomination gifts this year or lumps of coal? A little of both of course. Tracee Ellis Ross and Kumail Nanjiani were the chipper announcers this morning, making frequent jokes about how little sleep they'd gotten before the announcements.
The full list of nominations and how well we did on our predictions follow...
Best Picture
“Black Panther”
“A Star Is Born”
“Roma”
“The Favourite”
“Vice”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“Green Book”
“BlacKkKlansman”
Predictions: 100% correct but not happy about it. Still don't understand what Vice did to earn this nomination. It doesn't fit the usual suspects.
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Predictions: Missed Aparacio. Thought it would be Blunt who will stay have to wait for that first nomination after a long and impressive career.
Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Predictions: 4/5 missed Dafoe thinking it would be Ethan Hawke, by far the morning's worst snub. He practically swept 30+ critics awards and still nothing. It's the biggest critical to Oscar snub since Sally Hawkins in Happy Go Lucky or Peter Sargaard in Shattered Glass.
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Predictions: 4/5 Marina de Tavira surprised in that volatile 5th slot. At least she's a real supporting actress... and if someone were going to surprise we didn't want it to be another lead squeezing themselves in here.
Mahershala Ali, “The Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
Predictions: 5/5 -- I called both Sams with a Chalamet snub. So this category is only 20% lead performancse so that's kind of a relief.
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
Predictions: 3/5 Missed both Pawlikowksi and McKay, thinking those spots would go to Cooper & Farrelly. I think it's an upgrade though I would have preferred Pawlikowski and Cooper from those four.
“First Reformed”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“The Favourite”
“Vice”
Predictions: 4/5 -- because Eighth Grade was entirely shut out at the Oscars. Sad face.
Best Animated Film
“Incredibles 2”
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
“Mirai”
“Ralph Breaks the Internet”
“Isle Of Dogs”
Predictions: 5/5 Relieved that foreign films can still make it despite the changed rules to allow non-animators to vote on this.
Best Cinematography
“Cold War”
“The Favourite”
“Never Look Away”
“A Star Is Born”
Predictions: 3/5 ouch. THREE FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILMS HERE. wow.
Best Visual Effects
“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
Predictions: 3/5 missed First Man (I thought they'd say no to practical effects as they sometimes do) and Christopher Robin. I'm happy that Black Panther scored multiple nominations but I'm pleased it missed here. It's a rare instance of a super popular film missing an obvious category that it could compete in because it's not actually one of the best options.
Best Foreign Language Film
“Capernaum”
“Cold War”
“Never Look Away”
“Roma”
“Shoplifters”
Predictions: 5/5 I'm not happy I was correct (Burning really should've been here) but this sure is a good list, right?
Best Documentary Feature
“Free Solo”
“Minding The Gap”
“Of Fathers and Sons”
“RBG”
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening”
Predictions: 3/5 Always a volatile category. But how was RBG the one biodoc to make it over Mr Rogers?
Best Documentary Short Subject
“Black Sheep”
“End Game”
“Lifeboat”
“A Night at the Garden”
“Period. End of Sentence.”
Predictions: 3/5
Best Costume Design
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs”
“Black Panther”
“The Favourite”
“Mary Poppins Returns”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
Predictions: 4/5 I missed only Buster Scruggs. For years Oscar ignored Mary Zophres but it looks like they're finally paying attention to her so good on her.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Border”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
“Vice”
Predictions: 2/3 I missed Vice which is dumb. I was going for dumb in my predictions this year, what can I say. I was so scared of Bohemian Rhapsody's big teeth that I was trying to acclimate myself to the possibility
Best Film Editing
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“Green Book”
“The Favourite”
“Vice”
Predictions: 3/5 What an ungodly mess this category is! But I'm really happy for BlacKkKlansman which should obviously run away with the win but won't.
Best Sound Mixing
“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
Predictions: 4/5 I only missed Black Panther thinking A Quiet Place would score here.
Best Sound Editing
“A Quiet Place”
“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
Predictions: 3/5 Now here I DID get Black Panther AND A Quiet Place right but I missed Bohemian and Roma thinking this slightly more effects oriented category would have room for Mission: Impossible - Fallout. Note to self: NEVER bank on a nomination for the Mission: Impossible series, no matter how big and popular that series gets. They've yet to receive even a single nomination.
Best Animated Short Film
“Animal Behaviour”
“Bao”
“Late Afternoon”
“One Small Step”
“Weekends”
Prediction: 4/5 I missed only Animal Behavior which was a dumb miss since it's from the National Film Board in Canada and they always do well in this category
Best Live Action Short Film
“Detainment”
“Fauve”
“Marguerite”
“Mother”
“Skin”
Predictions 4/5 I missed only Mother, the film I could find the least info on (there is like *nothing* at IMDB about this beyond a couple of actors credits and the director and there are 14 more films named Mother that came out in the past two years.
Best Original Score
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“If Beale Street Could Talk”
“Isle of Dogs”
“Mary Poppins Returns”
Predictions: 3/5 and I'm pretty shocked about it. I think BlacKkKlansman is a really good score but I expected to see Globe and Critics Choice winner First Man here in its place. And I thought A Quiet Place would score here over the waning Mary Poppins Returns but A Quiet Place really underperformed this morning.