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97th Academy Awards. Honoring the Films of 2024
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

Catch up with...

  AND THE NOMINEES ARE....

Stats reflect acting categories only... * means they've been nominated in other categories before

CYNTHIA ERIVO
2nd nom*

WICKED
Universal

Role: A shy green woman embraces her magical gifts and her first real friendship, but finds herself at odds with the rulers of Oz

previous wins: NBR (Creative Collaboration)

Release: November 22nd

 

KARLA SOFÍA GARCÓN
first nomination!

EMILIA PÉREZ
Netflix

Role: A cartel boss fakes her own death to vanish (even from her family) and reinvent her life as a woman

previous wins: Cannes Best Actress (shared)

Release: After a premiere at Cannes in May,  November 1st in theaters

 

MIKEY MADISON
first nomination!

ANORA
Neon

Role: A stripper thinks she's hit paydirt when she marries the son of a Russian oligarch. But his family won't have it.

previous wins:
Many regional critics awards and the NBR (Breakthrough)

Release: After a premiere at Cannes in May,  October 18th in theaters

DEMI MOORE
first nomination!

THE SUBSTANCE
Mubi

Role: A celebrity is released from her longtime contract and takes desperate measures to restore her youthful beauty

previous wins: Golden Globe (Musical or Comedy)

Release: After a premiere in Cannes, September 20th in theaters

 

FERNANDA TORRES
first nomination!

I'M STILL HERE
Sony Pictures Classics

Role: A loving mother has her comfortable life turned upside down when the fascist government disappears her liberal husband.

previous wins: Golden Globe (Drama)

Release: After a premiere in Venice, a Qualifying week in theaters but a January 17th 2025 release


READER'S POLL - VOTE DAILY !

HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED
The percentages are not judgments, just a thought exercize about the way awards races play out.
         

WHO WAS SHUT OUT?
Marianne Jean-Baptiste won all three of the most prestigious critics awards (LAFCA, NYFCC, NSFC) but couldn't crack the top five of industry favor for Hard Truths. Early on in the race pundits thought Angelina Jolie was a shoo-in --even a possible repeat winner -- for playing Maria Callas in Maria but it wasn't to be. And finally Nicole Kidman gave her best performance in years in the erotic drama Babygirl and deservedly won the Venice Volpi Cup and the NBR, but Oscar voters only love her when she plays it safe.

WHO WILL WIN?

Demi Moore has the lead currently and the best narrative (by an enormous margin), with a critical triumph, commercial comeback, and a rebuke of her 'popcorn actress' place in the Hollywood machine. If there's a spoiler, though we don't think there will be, watch out for Fernanda Torres whose film is a surprise Best Picture nominee. The BAFTA went to Mikey Madison but we can't see her winning.

PREDICTION: DEMI
ALTERNATE: FERNANDA


WHO SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK
While I haven't yet announced my own nominees (soon) from this line-up I'd circle either Demi Moore or Mikey Madison's name.

TRIVIA AND ANECDOTES
38 years old
*
Star Sign: Capricorn
*
No actress has ever won reprising a role but if she loses on Oscar night Erivo will be the next to try with the sequel Wicked: For Good (2025) which will be less of a two-lead film.
*
She is Nigerian-British
*
She identifies as queer
*
Her film debut was in 2015
*
She is the only previous nominee in Best Actress this season. She was  nominated for both Original Song and Best Actress for Harriet (2019).
*
She has quite an awards haul already: 1 daytime Emmy, 1 Tony, and 1 Grammy, 
52 years old
*
Star Sign: Aries
*
With this honor Karla becomes the first transwoman ever nominated for acting.
*
She was born in Spain but has lived in Mexico for many years
*
Though she's been acting professionally since the late 1990s, Emilia Perez is her debut feature film after her transition 
*
She is married with 1 daughter
25 years old. The youngest nominated this year in any acting category
*
Star Sign: Aries
*
Madison joins a long line of women who have been nominated for playing sex-workers.
*
Her film debut was in 2015
*
This is her second appearance in Best Picture nominee as she was previously burned alive in Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a time... in Hollywood
*
She is single
62 years old
*
Star Sign: Scorpio
*
She's the first member of the unofficial "Brat Pack" to receive an Oscar nomination if not the first to be in the lead actor awards conversation - that was Ally Sheedy who won the Spirit Award for High Art,1998)
*
This is her third time in  a best Picture nominee. Ghost and A Few Good Men were nominated in the top category in 1990 and 1992 respectively
*
Her film debut was in 1981
*
She is single with 3 daughters
59 years old
*
Star Sign: Virgo
*
Hollywood loves nepo babies. Torres is the daughter of the only other Brazilian ever Oscar nominated for acting: Fernanda Montenegro (Central Station, 1998)
*
Her film debut was in 1983
*
She is married with 4 sons
*
She is also a celebrated novelist!