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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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Months of Meryl: Adaptation 

"This film is in my all time great top 10. I love everything about it. The acting, the plot, the crazyness of life itself." - Sonja

"I'm not wild about the film - but Cooper is super and I'd be inclined to put this in Streep's top 5, maybe top 3, performances. It's so unexpected, and works perfectly. For a few years this was often the performance I first thought of when I thought of her." - Scott C

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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2018 (2019 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

JULY 7TH PREDICTIONS

Tier 1 - Predicted Frontrunners

First Man
(Damien Chazelle)
Universal
Oct 12th

Perfect release date. Preferred Oscar genre (true story/American history). Hot director and stars. We think it's in.

TRAILER DISCUSSION

Beautiful Boy
(Felix van Groenigen)
Amazon
Oct 12th

Those who saw and loved Broken Circle Breakdown know that Groenigen is gifted as raw emotion and despair and catharsis which should help this addiction drama land with audiences. 

TRAILER DISCUSSION

A Star is Born
(Bradley Cooper)
Warner Bros
Oct 5th

Could be a blockbuster. Could be a flop. Could be an amazing cinema. Could be a mess. We won't know until it arrives but this story has a way of resonating and morphing into something new each time Hollywood trots it out. 

TRAILER DISCUSSION

Backseat
(Adam McKay)
Annapurna
Dec 21st

Annapurna is eager to get in the Oscar game and they're showing it with the films they're releasing this year including this all star Dick Cheney Bush era bio from the man behind The Big Short

Widows
(Steve McQueen)
Fox
Nov 16th

Geniuses in front of and behind the camera but what's the movie like? It's loosely based on a British miniseries about widows of criminals finishing their husbands work. We'll see.

TRAILER DISCUSSION 

 
Tier 2 - And a few of these as nominees... 

The Favourite
(Yorgos Lanthimos)
Fox Searchlight
Nov 23rd

One of the year's biggest curios. Lanthimos usually writes his own material and it's always contemporary. But this time directing someone else's screenplay about Queen Anne's royal court and the jockeying to be her favorite. Intriguing. We're hoping for the best.

BlacKkKlansman
(Spike Lee)
Focus Features
Aug 10th

Festivals are much different beasts than Oscar races so we'll have to wait and see how this undercover in the KKK cop comedy plays with voters. If it's a big hit with the public, I'd wager it's in if it becomes a zeitgeist hit.

TRAILER DISCUSSION

Black Panther
(Ryan Coogler)
Disney/Marvel
Feb 16th

It's the year's #1 film and possibly too big to ignore, especially because of it also has substance -- yes, in some ways its just another superhero film, but it pushed a lot of worthwhile discussions about representation onscreen towards the masses. 

BEST OF THE YEAR THUS FAR

Mary Poppins Returns
(Rob Marshall)
Disney 
Dec 25th

Mary Poppins (1964) was Disney's only Live Action Best Picture nominee for decades so it has a special place in history. They're surely hoping that the sequel will be a gigantic blockbuster AND followin in the original's Oscar gobbling footsteps.

Peterloo
(Mike Leigh)
Amazon
Nov 9th

The topic sounds a lot more visceral than Leigh's usual pieces (the 1819 Peterloo Massacre in which the government attacked peaceful protestors) and could be timely for the now as well. On the other hand Leigh's films are most well liked by Oscar when they're focused on women.

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

If Beale Street Could Talk
(Barry Jenkins)
Annapurna
Release TBA

Rich source material (a novel by James Baldwin) for one of Hollywood's best young directors. But why is there no buzz whatsoever yet. And why no US release date yet?

Boy Erased
(Joel Edgerton)
Focus
Nov 2nd

The subject of conversion therapy camps and homophobia are resonant fury-making topics. But will Edgerton have what it takes as a director to elevate it beyond well interntioned to vital? 

FIRST IMAGES

On the Basis of Sex
(Mimi Leder)
Focus
Dec 25th

The topic is timely and could resonate OR could be overshadowed by the RBG doc since it's being released at the gluttiest of glut points. Is the film a contender or just a standard biopic? 

RELEASE DATE SWITCH

Mary, Queen of Scots
(Josie Rourke)
Focus 
Dec 7th

Rourke is acclaimed in theater but cinema is a different beast. Will Oscar voters love this or feel like they've seen it all before (two previous Oscar nominated films have covered this story) 

Welcome to Marwen
(Robert Zemeckis)
Universal
Nov 21st

Zemeckis attempts another live action rendition of a previously successful documentary. He didn't have success with his take on Man on Wire (called The Walk) but perhaps his take on Marwencol will prove magical?

TRAILER DISCUSSION

 
Tier 4- Wild Cards?

At Eternity's Gate
(Julian Schnabel)
CBS Films
Release TBA

His first two films were arthouse hits and received Oscar nominations. Can he stage a comeback (he doesn't make many movies) with this Vincent Van Gogh film?

The Front Runner
(Jason Reitman)
Columbia
Nov 7th

Reitman works fast. We've alreadh had the undervalued Tully is out next month and then comes this political tragicomedy about Gary Hart's affair and career collapse starring Hugh Jackman

Roma
(Alfonso Cuaron)
Netflix
Release TBA

Cuaron returns to Mexico for a family drama. This could be a minor arthouse hit OR a critical Oscar sensation. But it's tough to know which until we see it.  

Everybody Knows
(Asghar Farhadi)
Focus Features
Release TBA

Oscar voters are familiar with this Iranian master and love his work (two Oscars already) Reaction at Cannes was muted but Cannes love or lack thereof is rarely a direct correlative with Oscar.

A Quiet Place
(John Krasinski)
Paramount
April 6th

It's this year's biggest original hit. Widespread mainstream audience love can get you far at the end of the year, if the campaign is right and late year films disappoint. We'll see.

REVIEW

 
Tier 4 - Potential Vote Siphoners

(Alphabetical Order)

The Aftermath (Fox Searchlight), Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Fox Searchlight), Colette (Bleecker Street), Destroyer (Annapurna), Eighth Grade (A24), Gloria (TBA), Hereditary (A24), Life Itself (Amazon), The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (Disney), Old Man and the Gun (Fox Searchlight), Red Joan (TBA), The Sisters Brothers (Annapurna), Suspiria (Amazon), Under the Silver Lake (A24), and What They Had (Bleecker Street), Mowgli (Warner Bros), White Boy Rick (Columbia), Creed II (MGM), The Best of Enemies (TBA)

MOVED TO 2019
Where'd You Go Bernadette