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95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2023 / CEREMONY: March 10th, 2024
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
and the Oscar nominees are...
Nomination Morning: Tuesday January 23, 2024
Oscar Night: Sunday, March 10, 2024
Best Animated FeatureOscar ignored the precursor opinions and selected Nimona and Robot Dreams over the box office hits Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, Suzume, and Super Mario Bros. While this is mostly a happy result (Nimona and Robot Dreams are both great choices) it's still a great pity that Makoto Shinkai (Suzume) keeps being passed over in this category. He suffered the same fate for his beloved hits Your Name and Weathering With You.
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The Boy and the Heron Hayao Miyazaki TRADITIONAL FANTASY |
Elemental Pete Sohn (first nomination!) CG COMEDY FANTASY |
Nimona CG FANTASY |
Robot Dreams TRADITIONAL |
Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse CG SUPERHERO |
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What Should Win (Vote Daily) |
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| Trivia Time | ||||
| Since the inception of this category Miyazaki has only passed over for one film (Ponyo). He could even win his second this year. | This must be a relief for Pete Sohn. He was previously the only Pixar director who wasn't nominated for a non-sequel (Good Dinosaur). | This is only the second nominee in this category with gay characters (Paranormal being the first) | A rare animated feature nominee without any dialogue! | The first installment won the Oscar but the only sequels to win this category so far had Toy Story in the title |
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*Statistics below reflect animated categories ONLY. So if there's an asterisk they have been Oscar nominated elsewhere Best Animated Short93 films qualified though Oscar doesn't release that list any more publicly (for reasons we don't understand). 15 films moved on to the nomination ballot and these 5 prevailed in the end! |
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Letter to a Pig Israel A Holocaust survivor writes a thank you letter to the pig that saved his life. |
Ninety-Five Sense US The Napoleon Dynamite filmmakers deliver a comic short about the five senses and a man with little time to enjoy them. |
Our Uniform Iran Memories of an Iranian girl play out on her old uniform. This is the first time an Iranian produciton has made this category's finalist list. |
Pachyderme Stephanie Clement (1st nomination) France A girl stays with her grandparents in the countryside for a summer. |
WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko US World War I rages on in an alternate reality but two soldiers stop to play a game of chess. |
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What Should Win? (Vote Daily) |
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The other finalists were... 27, Boom, Dog Apartment, Eeva, I'm Hip, A Kind of Testament, Once Upon a Studio, Pete, Smoke, and Wild Summon |
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*Statistics below reflect doc categories ONLY. So if there's an asterisk they have been Oscar nominated elsewhere Best Documentary Feature168 films qualified after which 15 were selected to compete on the final ballot from which these 5 features were chosen. |
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20 Days in Mariupol Ukrainian journalists trying to chronicle the Russian war in a besieged city. A debut feature. This also made the finals for Best International Film (Ukraine) |
Bobi Wine: The People's President Uganda. A bio doc about opposition leader and musician |
The Eternal Memory About a couple dealing with Alzheimer's disease. From the director of The Mole Agent |
Four Daughters A drama/doc hybrid about a woman and her four daughters. This also made the finals for Best International Feature Film (Tunisia) |
To Kill a Tiger Nisha Pahuja (first nomination) A Hindi language doc about a girl who is sexually assaulted and her fathers search for justice. |
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What Should Win? (Vote Daily) |
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The highest profile omissions were American Symphony (which Netflix was pushing hard), Beyond Utopia (which had done very well in the precursors), and Still: A Michael J Fox Movie (which was somehow on the finalists list despite already winning 4 Emmys!). The other finalists that didn't make it to the coveted nomination were... 32 Sounds, Apolonia Apolonia, Desperate Souls, Going to Mars, In the Rearview, Stamped from the Beginning, and A Still Small Voice |
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*Statistics below reflect doc categories ONLY. So if there's an asterisk they have been Oscar nominated elsewhere Best Documentary ShortPresumably 100+ shorts qualified after which 15 were selected to compete on the final ballot from which these 5 features were chosen. |
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The ABCs of Book Banning US. 27 minutes On youthful minds and the effects of school district book bannings. Adlesci was previously nominated for Gasland and Sheila Nevins has a gazillion Emmys. |
The Barber of Little Rock US. 35 minutes On the widening racial wealth gap but focused on a local barber and the nonprofit "People Trust" |
Island in Between Taiwan. 20 minutes |
The Last Repair Shop US 39 minutes A doc about heroes who make sure students aren't without music. Proudfoot previously won this category with Queen of Basketball |
Nãi Nai & Wài Pó US. 16 minutes The director's ode to his grandmothers |
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What Should Win? (Vote Daily) |
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Previous Oscar nominees like Kevin Macdonald's Last Song from Kabul, and Ramin Bahrini's If Dreams Were Lightning. Other finalists were Black Girls Play, Between Earth and Sky, Camp Courage, Deciding Vote, How We Get Free, and international options like Bear (France), Oasis (Canada), Wings of Dust (Peru), |
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*Statistics below all Oscar categories. Best Live-Action ShortPresumably 100+ shorts qualified after which 15 were selected to compete on the final ballot. Finally these 5 features were chosen. |
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The After US. 18 minutes David Oyelowo stars in this short drama about a rideshare driver and a pick up from his past [Netflix] |
Invincible Canada. 30 minutes Inspired by a true story. The last 48 hours of the life of a 14 year old boy fighting for his freedom. |
Knight of Fortune Lasse Lyskjaer Noer Denmark. 25 minutes An "absurd and melodic" meeting between two old grieving men. |
Red White and Blue US. 23 minutes A pregnant waitress crosses statelines to get an abortion. Brittany Snow (Pitch Perfect) stars. |
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar Wes Anderson (8th nom... in 5 different categories!) US. 37 minutes Benedict Cumberbatch stars in this delight about a wealthy man who learns to see through objects and predict the future. [Netflix] |
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What Should Win? (Vote Daily) |
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The other 10 finalists were: The Anne Frank Gift Shop (US), An Avocado Pit (Portugal), Bienvenidos a Los Angeles (US), Dead Cat (Canada), Good Boy (UK), Invisible Border (Austria), One Note Man (US), The Shepherd (US/UK), Strange Way of Life (Spain), and Yellow (UK/Afghanistan), |
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