Welcome

The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. All material herein is written by our team. (This site is not for profit but for an expression of love for cinema & adjacent artforms.)

Follow TFE on Substackd

Powered by Squarespace
Keep TFE Strong

We're looking for 500... no 390 SubscribersIf you read us daily, please be one.  

I ♥ The Film Experience

THANKS IN ADVANCE

What'cha Looking For?
Subscribe

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025. CEREMONY: 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

SCROLL DOWN FOR BRAND NEW CATEGORY - CASTING!

 

BEST DIRECTOR

TIER 1- Predictions

Stats reflect Directing category only!
* = nominated or won in other categories

Jon M Chu
45 yrs old | 9th film | never nominated
WICKED FOR GOOD
(Universal)
Josh Safdie
41 yrs old | 7th film | never nominated
MARTY SUPREME
(A24)
Ryan Coogler
39 yrs old | 5th film | never nominated*
SINNERS
(Warner Bros)
Joachim Trier
51 yrs old | 6th film | never nominated*
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
(Neon)
P.T. Anderson
55 yrs old | 10th film | 3 noms*
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

 

TIER 2 - Also potentially in the running

Chloé Zhao
(China)
43 yrs old | 5th film | 1 nom | 1 win
HAMNET
(Focus)

Luca Guadagnino
(Italy)
53 yrs old | 10 films | never nominated*
AFTER THE HUNT
(Amazon / MGM)
Scott Cooper
(US)
55 yrs old | 7th film  never nominated
DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
(20th Century)

Noah Baumbach
(US)
55 yrs old | 13th film | never nominated*
JAY KELLY
(Netflix)

Edward Berger
(Switzerland/Austria)
55 yrs old | 7th film | never nominated*
BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER
(Netflix)
TIER 3 - Longshots? Exciting Prospects?, Wild Cards?
Benny Safdie
(US)
39 yrs old | 5th film | never nominated
THE SMASHING MACHINE
(A24)
Yorgos Lanthimos
(Greece)
51 yrs old | 10th film | 2 noms*
BUGONIA
(Focus)

Clint Bentley
(US)
40 yrs old | 2nd film | never nominated*
TRAIN DREAMS
(Netflix)

Paul Greengrass
(UK)
69 yrs old | 12th film | 1 nomination
THE LOST BUS
(Apple TV+)

Joseph Kosinski
(US)
51 yrs old | 6th film  never nominated
F1 The Movie
(Apple TV+/Warner Bros)

James L Brooks
(US)
85 yrs old | 7th film | 1 noms* | 1 win*
ELLA MCKAY
(20th Century)
Guillermo Del Toro
(Mexico)
60 yrs old | 13th film | 1 nom* | 1 win*
FRANKENSTEIN
(Netflix)

Richard Linklater
(US)
64 yrs old | 22nd film | 1 nom*
BLUE MOON
(Sony Pictures Classics)

Craig Brewer
(US)
53 yrs old | 7th film | never nominated
SONG SUNG BLUE
Craig Brewer (Focus)
Mona Fastvold
(Norway)
39 yrs old | 3rd film | never nominated*
ANN LEE
(Distributor?)

 

TIER 5 - Other Directors With Films (Maybe) Coming in 2025

PREVIOUS NOMINEES FOR DIRECTING

  • Bill Condon - Kiss of the Spider Woman
  • Bong Joon-ho - Mickey 17
  • Darren Aronofsky - Caught Stealing
  • Gus Van Sant - Dead Man's Wire
  • James Cameron - Avatar Fire and Ash
  • Julian Schnabel - In the Hands of Dante
  • Kenneth Branagh - Last Disturbance of Madeline Hynde
  • Richard Linklater - Nouvelle Vague
  • Spike Lee - Highest 2 Lowest
  • Wes Anderson - The Phoenician Scheme

NEVER NOMINATED FOR DIRECTING. WILL THESE FILMS CATCH ON? WHAT WOULD CHANGE THEIR OSCAR TRAJECTORY?

  • Ari Aster - Eddington
  • Celine Song - Materialists
  • David Lowery - Mother Mary
  • Edgar Wright - Running Man
  • Embeth Davidtz - Don't Let's Go To the Dogs Tonight
  • Harry Lighton - Pillion
  • Jay Roach - The Roses
  • Kleber Mendoca Filho - The Secret Agent
  • Kelly Reichardt -Mastermind
  • Kogonada - Big Bold Beautiful Journey
  • Mike Flanagan - Life of Chuck
  • Park Chan-wook - No Other Choice

 

 

 

BEST CASTING
(first new Oscar category in ages)

Exciting as we have no precedent, so no idea of what their patterns will be like. But it's probably safe to safe they'll lean towards Best Pictures as most categories do.

TIER 1- Predictions

Francine Maisler
SINNERS
(Warner Bros)

As the year's biggest original non-franchise hit, with underrewarded actors it seems like a slam dunk

Jennifer Venditti
MARTY SUPREME
(A24)

We don't know what they'll looking for (no precedent for this category) so we're guessing Best Picture players

Avy Kaufman & Yngvill Kolset Haga
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
(Neon)

We don't yet know how open this category will be to international casting agents. But let's say they are...

Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey
WICKED FOR GOOD
(Universal)

Will definitely place if they include the first film in their thinking as they vote

Cassandra Kulukundis
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
(Warner Bros)

If they appreciate the deep bench diversity of undervalued players, discoveries, and major stars.

Tier 2 - Also potentially in the running
 

Francine Maisler
DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
(20th Century)

If they preference biopics in this category, and they might, since they do elsewhere.

 

Mary Vernieu
WAKE UP DEAD MAN
(Netflix)

If they take the whole franchise into account, she seems very very likely.

unknown
HAMNET
(Focus)

If Oscar responds in a big way to the British cast of this Shakespeare and Family grief drama

Nina Gold & Douglas Aibel
JAY KELLY
(Netflix)

If they look the central pairing (Clooney & Sandler) and the cast supporting them

Jessica Ronane
AFTER THE HUNT
(Amazon / MGM)

If it has significant Best Picture heat

Tier 3 - Longshots? Exciting Prospects?, Wild Cards?
 

Nina Gold & Martin Ware
BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER
(Netflix)

If it has significant Best Picture heat

Douglas Aibel
MATERIALISTS
(A24)

If they recognize how many non-star roles it had to cast well.

Jennifer Venditti
THE SMASHING MACHINE
(A24)

If they like the central reunion but in a different context than usual

Robin D Cook
FRANKEN STEIN
(Netflix)

If it has significant Best Picture heat

Francine Maisler
THE LOST BUS
(Apple TV+)

If it has significant Best Picture heat

Tier 4 - Other Possibilities

Again, since the category has never existed we're not sure what to expect. Will it be treated as a "Best Ensemble" award or will the casting directors really think through their ballots?

  • Ann Lee - Isabella Odoffin
  • Bugonia - Jennifer Venditti
  • Caught Stealing- Mary Vernieu
  • Dead Man's Wire- Kathy Campbell
  • Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight - Nicholas Campbell & Jessica Wolhulter
  • Ella McCay - Francine Maisler
  • F1 The Movie - Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann
  • How to Train Your Dragon - Lucy Bevan
  • Jay Kelly - Douglas Aibel
  • Kiss of the Spider Woman - Adam Caldwell & Tiffany Little Canfield
  • The Life of Chuck - Anne McCarthy, Morgan Robbins, Kellie Roy
  • Materialists - Douglas Aibel
  • Mickey 17 - Francine Maisler
  • The Phoenician Scheme - Douglas Aibel
  • Pillion - Kahleen Crawford
  • Song Sung Blue - Lindsay Graham & Guy Wernick