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Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025 / Ceremony 2026
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog


SUBMISSION CHARTS 

most recent update: 09/24/2025

CHART 1: ALBANIA through GREENLAND

23 OFFICIAL SUBMISSIONS & 4 FINALIST LISTS (THUS FAR)

 

Afghanistan

Albania
never nominated | 
submitting since 1996

LUNA PARK
dir. Florenze Papas
no US distirbution yet

101 minutes
Albanian

A mother son drama set against the backdrop of the 1997 Albanian  civil war. The motehr and son are forced to flee after involvement in a dubious financial scheme. 

Algeria
5 noms | 1 win | submitting since 1969

Argentina
7 noms | 2 wins |  submitting since 1961

BELEN
dir. Dolores Fonzi
no US distribution yet

100 minutes
Spanish

A legal drama about an attorney defending a gir accused of an illegal abortion. Based on a non-fiction book Somos Belen.

Not Selected:
The other three films that they were considering were Homo Argentum
Something Old, Something New, Something Borrowed, and The Woman in the Line by Benjamín Ávila 

Armenia
never nominated | 
submitting spottily since 2001

MY ARMENIAN PHANTOMS
dir. Tamara Stepanyan
no US distribution yet

75 minutes
Armenian, Russian

In this nostalgic documentary, Tamara reflects on her own artistic journey and her late father's acting career in Soviet Armenian cinema.

Not Selected:
The other two contenders (all three finalist from women filmmakers)After Dreaming by Christine Haroutounian and  There Was, There Was Not by Emily Mkrtichian

 

Australia
1 nom

THE WOLVES ALWAYS COME AT NIGHT
dir. Gabrielle Brady
no US distribution yet

95 minutes
Mongolian

A documentary about a climate change's effect on a couple who are forced to leave their shepherding lives for the city. 

Austria
4 noms | 2 wins | +1 finalist | submitting since 1961

PEACOCK
dir Bernhard Wenger
no US Distribution Yet

102 minutes
German & English

A dramedy starring Albrecht Schuch (a nominee here and at BAFTA for All Quiet on the Western Front)

3 key submissions
2022 - Corsage
2021 - Great Freedom
2012 - Amour

Azerbaijan
never nominated | submitting since 2007

TAGHIYEV: OIL
dir. Zaur Gasimili
no US distribution yet

120 minutes
Azerbaijani

A biopic about millionair philanthropist Zeynalabdin Taghiyev

3 key submissions:
2021 - The Island Within
2012 - Buta
2010 - The Precinct

Bangladesh
never nominated | submitting since 2002

A HOUSE NAMED SHANANA
dir. Leesa Gazi
no US distribution yet

120 minutes
Bengali

A drama about a young woman rebuilding her life against a patriarchal culture after divorce in 1990s Bangladesh

not selected:
They do not have a 'finalist system but the other films that might have been selected were Moyna by Monjurul Islam Megh, Priyo Maloti by Shankha DasguptaSaba by Maksud Hossain, and A Tale of Two Sisters by Akram Khan

Belgium
8 noms | 0 wins | + 2 finalists | submitting since 1967

THE YOUNG MOTHERS HOME
dir. Dardenne Brothers
no US distribution yet

105 minutes
French

Stories of five young mothers. Winner of Screenplay at Cannes (where the Dardennes are often rewarded). Their movies eventually get US releases. This is the fifth Dardennes film to be submitted by Belgium.

3 most celebrated  Dardennes submissions
2014 - Two Days One Night
2002 - The Son
1999 - Rosetta

 

 

Bhutan
1 nom

I THE SONG
dir. Dechen Roder
no US distribution yet

113 minutes
Dzongka

A mystery drama about a school teacher searching for her look-a-like to restore her reputation at work. It won 8 awards at the Bhutan National Film Awards. 

Bolivia
never nominated
| submitting spottily since 1995

 

Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 noms | 1 win | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1994

BLUM: MASTERS OF THEIR OWN DESTINY
dir. Jasmila Zbanic
No US distribution yet

76 minutes
Bosnian, English, German

A documentary from Quo Vadis Aida director.

3 key submissions:
2020 - Quo Vadis Aida?
2016 - Death in Sarajevo
2013 - An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker

 

 

Brazil
5 noms | 1wins | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1960

THE SECRET AGENT
Dir. Kleber Mendoca Filho
NEON in US

158 minutes
Portugueuse

Brazil finally won the category last year. Can they go two for two?

Not Selected:
from a longlist of 16 eligible films. they chose xi finalists. The other five were: The Blue Trail, Manas, Same Old West, White House  as well as the LGBTQ gem Baby

3 underappreciated submissions
2019 - Invisible Life
2014 - The Way He Looks
2007 - The Year My Parents Went on Vacation

Bulgaria
never nominated | 1 finalist |  submitting since 1971

TARIKA
dir Milko Lazarov
no US distribution yet

86 minutes
Bulgarian

A drama with supernatural elements about a father and his unusual daughter who are shunned by the local townsfolk. The director was previously submitted for Aga (2019)

3 key submissions
2019 - Aga
2009 -The World is Big...
2004 - Mila from Mars

 

 

Burkina Faso
noms

Cambodia
1 nomination | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1994

TENEMENT
dir. Inrasothythep Neth and Sokyou Chea
no US distribution yet

88 minutes
Khmer, Japanese

A horror thriller about a woman who returns to Cambodia after her mother's death.

3 must-see submissions
2022 - Return to Seoul
2021 - White Building
2013 -The Missing Picture

Cameroon
never nominated | submitting infrequently since 1980

Canada
7 noms | 1 win | + 4 finalists | submitting since 1971

THE THINGS YOU KILL
Alirez Khatami
no US distribution yet

116 minutes
Turkish

This was a hit at Sundance winning the World Cinema Directing award.

3 key submissions
2022 - age
2021 - edom
2012 - our

Chad

 

 

Chile
2 noms | 1 win | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1990

MYSTERIOUS GAZE OF THE FLAMINGO
dir. Diego Cespedes
no US distribution yet

110 minutes
Spanish

Cannes Review
 TIFF Review

Concerning drag queens and locals in a remote mining town in 1980s Chile. Winner of Un Certain Regard section at Cannes.

Not selected:
There were 
five other finalistsBitter Gold , Designation of OriginThe Hyperboreans, The Wave, and A Yard of Jackals

3 must-see snubbed submissions
2016 -Neruda
2015 - The Club
2013 - Gloria

China
2 noms | submitting since 1979

DEAD TO RIGHTS
dir. Shen Ao
Aug 15 in US
Niu Vision Media

137 minutes
Mandarin

A historical drama set during the Nanjing Massacre about a group of students who hide in a photo studio.

3 classic snubbed submissions:
2006 - Curse of the Golden Flower
2004 - House of Flying Daggers
1992 - The Story of Qiu Ju

 

Colombia
1 nomination | + 1 finalist |

A POET
dir. Simon Mesa Soto
US Date TBA
1-2 Special 

120 minutes
Spanish

An aging poetry obsessed man mentors a young talented teenage woman with a gift for poetry.

Not Selected:
The other 11 films considered were: Adiós al amigoBetween Sea and LandChoibá: The Dance of the Humpback Whale En lo profundo  , Estimados señores Irredentos  , Matrioshka b, Mi bestia , Seed of the Desert , Soul of the Desert , and Uno: entre el oro y la muerte 

Costa Rica
never nominated | 
submitting since 2005

THE ALTAR BOY, THE PRIEST, AND THE GARDENER
dir. Juan Manuel Fernandez
no US distribution yet

87 minutes
Spanish

A documentary about a landmark case that changed Costa Rica's laws about child sexual abuse cases.

3 key submissions
2023 -I Have Electric Dreams
2021 -Clara Sola
2019 -Awakening of the Ants

Croatia
never nominated | 
submitting since 1992

FIUME O MORTE!
dir. Igor Bazinivic
no US distribution yet

112 minutes
Fiuman, Croatian, Italian

Present day citizens of Rijeka reenact images from the 1919–1920 occupation of the city.

 The film was a big winner at the Pula film festival and the biggest documentary hit in Croatia since they gained independence in 1991.

3 key submissions:
2024 - Beautiful Evening Beautiful Day
2020 - Extracurricular
2017 - Quit Staring at My Plate

 

Cuba
noms

Czech Republic
3 noms | 1 wins* | + 3 finalists

I'M NOT EVERYTHING I WANT TO BE
dir Klára Tasovská 
no US distribution yet

90 minutes
Czech

A documentary about "the Czech Nan Goldin" who photographed the undergroud queer scene in 1970s Czechoslovokia

Not Selected
The other two finalists for the submission honor were Broken Voices a period drama about sisters and their stern choirmaster and Caravan, a celebrated debut about a mother and disabled son on holiday in Italy.

3 that just-missed the nomination 
2024- Waves
2020-Charlatan
2019 - The Painted Bird

Denmark
15 noms | 4 wins | + 2 finalists |  submitting since 1956

MR NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
dir. David Borenstein
no US Distribution Yet

90 minutes
Russian and English

A documentary about a teacher, over two years, who is forced to hold "patriotic displays" to justify Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The government compliance commands give him cover to film meetings, lessons, and visitors to the school.

Not Selected:
Their two other finalists were narrative features with major stars who've headlined previous nominees or winners: the divorce/medical drama Beginnings starring Tine Dyrholm and the crime comedy The Last Vikings starring Mads Mikkelsen

3 underappreciated submissions
2022 - Holy Spider
2016 -Land of Mine
2011 - SuperClasico

Dominican Republic
never nominated |  submitting since 1983

PEPE
Nelson Carlo de Los Santos Arias
no US distribution yet

122 minutes
Spanish, Afrikaans, Mbukushu, German

NYFF Review

A narrative/doc hybrid about a hippo.

Not Selected:
The six other finalists were: Bionico's Bachata by Yoel Morales, the animated feature Olivia & the Clouds by Tomás Pichardo Espaillat, The Silence of Marcos Tremmer by Miguel García de la Calera, Sueños Dorados by Mariano Pichardo, Sugar Island by Johanné Gómez Terrero, and El Tiburón by Félix Germán

3 key submissions:
2022 - Bantu Mama
2021 -Holy Beasts
2015 - Sand Dollars

Ecuador
never nominated | submitting since 2000

CHUZALONGO
dir. Diego Ortuño
no US distribution yet

95 minutes
Spanish, Kichwa

A father investigates mysterious deaths connected to a folk horror legend of a childlike creature who sexually assaults women. It was the highest grossing Ecuadorian film last year, opening shortly after the International Oscar cutoff for 2024

3 key submissions:
2024 - Behind the Mist
2020 - Emptiness
2004 - Chronicles

 

Egypt
never nominated | submitting since 1958

HAPPY BIRTHDAY
dir. Sarah Goher
No US Distribution Yet - International + Screenplay Winner at Tribeca

95 minutes
Arabic

A socioeconomic drama involving an 8 year old maid and the daughter of her wealthy employer. 

3 key submissions:
2018 - Yomeddine
2016 - Clash
2006 - The Yacoubian Building

Estonia
1 nomination | 
submitting since 1992

ROLLING PAPERS
dir. Meel Paliale
no US distribution yet

98 minutes
Estonian

A youth drama about a young man and an unexpected friendship.

3 key submissions:
2023 - Smoke Sauna Sisterhood
2019 - Truth and Justice
2017 - November

Finland
1 nomination | + 3 finalists
| submitting since 1973

100 LITRES OF GOLD
dir. Teemu Nikki
no US distribution  but rights for an American remake rights already purchased.

88 minutes
Finnish

A comedy about two sisters known for brewing who must replace all the alcohol they've prepared for their sisters wedding after drinking it.

France
3 Honoraries | 38 noms | 9 wins | + 3 finalists | submitting since 1956

IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
dir Jafar Panahi
Oct 15 in US
NEON

105 minutes
Persian & English

 Not Selected:
The other four finalists were:  the animated picture Arco by Ugo Bienvenu  The Little Sister by Hafsia Herzi, the Breathless-centric Nouvelle Vague by US filmmaker Richard Linklater, and A Private Life by Rebecca Zlotowski. 

 Georgia
1 nom | 0 wins | 
submitting since 1996 

PANOPTICON
dir. George Sikharulidze
no US distribution yet

95 minutes
Georgian

A directorial debut focused on a young man sho is abandoned by both parents and embarks on a journey of self-discovery. "Explores the blurred boundary between watching and being watched"

Note Just Watch's links on this film are inaccurate. It shows this poster but takes you to an older American film. 

 

3 key submissions
2020 - Beginning
2018 - Namme
2014 - Corn Island

 

 

 

Germany
23 noms | 4 wins | + 5 finalists | submitting since 1956

SOUND OF FALLING
dir Mascha Schilinski
Date TBA, MUBI in US

Reviewed at Cannes

149 minutes
German

Schillings directorial debut which looks at four women in different time periods on the same farm. It won the Jury Prize at Cannes. Germany has been nominated three years consecutively. Can they make it four? 

Not Selected:
The other four finalists were the memory piece Amrun, the choreographer biopic John Kranko, the documentary Reifenstahl, and the war drama Der Tiger

3 classic snubbed submissions
2003 - Goodbye Lenin!
1998 - Run Lola Run
1982 - Fitzarraldo

Greece
5 noms | 0 wins |  submitting since 1957

ARCADIA
dir. Yorgos Zois
no US distribution yet

99 minutes
Greek

This one has been called an erotic thriller, a fantasy drama, and a relationship melodrama -- so which is it? Or perhaps it's all three. 

3 key submissions
2024 - Murderess
2021 - Digger
2016 - Chevalier 

Greenland
never nominated | submitting infrequently since 2010

WALLS - AKINNI INUK
dir. Sofie Rørdam & Nina Paninnquaq Skydsbjerg
no US distribution yet

105 minutes
Greenlandic

A documentary portrait of a woman in prison for attempted murder whose case is reopened.

only previous submissions:
2012 - Inuk
2010 - Nuummioq

Guatemala
never nominated | + 1 finalist | submitting since 1994 

Current International Feature Predictions

Pt 2 HAITI to  NORWAY 

Pt 3 PAKISTAN to YEMEN 


 

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film

98th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog