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Oscar Predictions
for the 96th Academy Awards
2023 FILM YEAR
/ 2024 OSCAR CEREMONY
CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE

 

AND THE OSCARS GO TO...

UPDATED WITH WINNERS 03/11/2024

OSCAR NIGHT: March 10th, 2024

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discuss on the blog

BEST PICTURE

AMERICAN FICTION

ANATOMY OF

BARBIE


HOLDOVERS

KILLERS OF THE...

MAESTRO

★ OPPENHEIMER

PAST LIVES

POOR THINGS

ZONE OF INTEREST

predicted 10/10


OPPENHEIMER

BEST DIRECTOR 

Jonathan Glazer
ZONE OF INTEREST

Yorgos Lanthimos
POOR THINGS

★ Chris Nolan
OPPENHEIMER

Martin Scorsese
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON

Justine Triet
ANATOMY OF

predicted 4/5

Nolan

 BEST ACTRESS

Annette Bening
NYAD

Lily Gladstone

KILLER OF THE...

Sandra Hüller
ANATOMY OF...

Carey Mulligan
MAESTRO

★ Emma Stone
POOR THINGS

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Gladstone

BEST ACTOR

Bradley Cooper
MAESTRO

Colman Domingo
RUSTIN

Paul Giamatti
HOLDOVERS

★ Cillian Murphy
OPPENHEIMER

Jeffrey Wright
AMERICAN FICTION

predicted 5/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Murphy

SUPP ACTRESS

Emily Blunt
OPPENHEIMER

Danielle Brooks
COLOR PURPLE

America Ferrera
BARBIE

Jodie Foster
NYAD

★ Da'Vine Joy Randolph
THE HOLDOVERS

predicted 5/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Randolph

SUPP' ACTOR 

Sterling K Brown
AMERICAN FICTION

Robert De Niro
KILLERS OF FLOWER...

★ Robert Downey Jr

OPPENHEIMER

Ryan Gosling
BARBIE

Mark Ruffalo
POOR THINGS

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
Downey Jr

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

★ ANATOMY OF A FALL
Triet

THE HOLDOVERS

Hemingson

MAESTRO
Cooper & Singer

MAY DECEMBER

Burch & Mechanik

PAST LIVES
Song

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
ANATOMY OF A FALL

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

★ AMERICAN FICTION
Jefferson

BARBIE
Baumbach & Grerwig

OPPENHEIMER
Nolan

POOR THINGS
McNamara

ZONE OF INTEREST
Glazer

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
AMERICAN FICTION

CINEMATOGRAPHY

EL CONDE
Lachman

KILLERS OF

Prieto


MAESTRO
Libatique

★ OPPENHEIMER
Hoytema

POOR THINGS
Ryan

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

COSTUME DESIGN

BARBIE
Durran

KILLERS OF...
West

NAPOLEON
Yates

OPPENHEIMER
Mirojnick

★ POOR THINGS
Waddington

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
POOR THINGS

PRODUCTION DESIGN

BARBIE
Greenwood

KILLERS OF THE...
Fisk

NAPOLEON

OPPENHEIMER
De Jong

★ POOR THINGS
Heath & Price

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
POOR THINGS

FILM EDITING

ANATOMY OF A FALL
Senechal

HOLDOVERS
Tent

KILLERS OF THE...
Schoonmaker

★ OPPENHEIMER
Lame

POOR THINGS
...

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

CREATOR

★ GODZILLA MINUS ONE

GUARDIANS VOL 3

MISSION IMPOSSIBLE

NAPOLEON

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE

MAKEUP & HAIR

GOLDA

MAESTRO


OPPENHEIMER

★ POOR THINGS

SOCIETY OF THE SNOW

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

INTERNATIONAL FILM 

IO CAPITANO
Italy

PERFECT DAYS
Japan

TEACHERS LOUNGE
Germany

SOCIETY OF THE SNOW
Spain

★ ZONE OF INTEREST 
UK

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
THE ZONE OF INTEREST

ORIGINAL SCORE

AMERICAN FICTION
Karpman

DIAL OF DESTINY

Williams

KILLERS OF THE...
Roberston

★ OPPENHEIMER
Goransson

POOR THINGS
Fendrix

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

ORIGINAL SONG 

"It Never Went Away"
AMERICAN SYMPHONY

"I'm Just Ken"
BARBIE

★ What Was I Made For?"

BARBIE

"Fire Inside"
FLAMIN' HOT

"Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)"
KILLERS OF...

predicted 4/5

PREDICTED WINNER
BARBIE

SOUND

THE CREATOR

MAESTRO

MISSION IMPOSSIBLE

OPPENHEIMER


★ ZONE OF INTEREST

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
OPPENHEIMER

ANIMATED FILM

★ BOY AND THE HERON

ELEMENTAL


NIMONA

ROBOT DREAMS

SPIDER-MAN ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
THE BOY AND THE HERON

DOCUMENTARY

BOBI WINE

ETERNAL MEMORY

FOUR DAUGHTERS

TO KILL A TIGER

★ 20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL

predicted 3/5

PREDICTED WINNER
20. DAYS IN MARIUPOL

   

 

SHORTS, DOCUMENTARY

ABCS OF BOOK BANNING

BARBER OF LITTLE ROCK

ISLAND IN BETWEEN

★ LAST REPAIR SHOP

NAI NAI & WAI PO

predicted 1/5

PREDICTED WINNER
LAST REPAIR SHOP

SHORTS, LIVE ACTION

THE AFTER

INVINCIBLE

KNIGHT OF FORTUNE


RED WHITE AND BLUE

★ WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR

SHORTS, ANIMATED

LETTER TO A PIG

NINETY-FIVE SENSES

OUR UNIFORM

PACHYDERME

★ WAR IS OVER...

predicted 2/5

PREDICTED WINNER
WAR IS OVER

 

 

sound off on the Oscar race

 

ACTUAL NOMINATION TALLIES
(number in parenthesis is what we predicted for the film)

13 nominations
OPPENHEIMER (13)

11 nominations
POOR THINGS (10)

10 nominations
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (11)

8 nominations
BARBIE (12)

7 nominations
MAESTRO (7)

5 nominations
HOLDOVERS (5)
AMERICAN FICTION (4)
ANATOMY OF A FALL (4)
ZONE OF INTEREST (4)

3 nominations
NAPOLEON (0) in a shock -- the most nominations for a non Best Picture nominee

2 nominations
THE CREATOR (1)
MISSION IMPOSSIBLE: DEAD RECKONING PT 1 (0) first nominations EVER for this franchise
PAST LIVES (2)  least nominations for a Best Picture nominee as predicted
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (2)

single nomination
20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (2)
ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (3)
AMERICAN SYMPHONY (2)
THE COLOR PURPLE (2)
ELEMENTAL

(1)
INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY (2)
MAY DECEMBER (1)
RUSTIN (1)
THE BOY AND THE HERON (1)
ETERNAL MEMORY (1)
FALLEN LEAVES (1)
FLAMIN' HOT (1)
GOLDA (0)
GODZILLA PLUS ONE (1
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 (1)
IO CAPITANO (0)

THE BOY AND THE HERON (1)
PERFECT DAYS (0)
TEACHERS LOUNGE (0)
TO KILL A TIGER (1)

 

 

shut out
ALL OF US STRANGERS (0)
ASTEROID CITY (0)
ARE YOU THERE GOD IT'S ME MARGARET (0)
BEYOND UTOPIA (1)
CHICKEN RUN DAWN OF THE NUGGET (1)
IRON CLAW (0)
SALTBURN (3)
SUZUME (1)
THE TASTE OF THINGS (
1)
WISH (0)

WONKA (0)

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