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Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2022 / CEREMONY: March 12th, 2023
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
AND THE WINNER IS...
KE HUY QUAN, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
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Brendan Gleeson wins: NBR and a few critics awards |
Brian Tyree Henry win: a few critics awards |
Judd Hirsch win: AARP |
Barry Keoghan win: BAFTA and a few critics awards |
Ke Huy Quan win: GLOBE, CRITICS CHOICE, NYFCC, LAFCA, NSFC, and dozens of critics awards |
| Who SHOULD win (Vote Daily!) | ||||
How'd I do on my predictions? |
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| 4/5 While I correctly saw Judd Hirsch coming, I thought Paul Dano would make it in too for the same film. The nominee I left out was Brian Tyree Henry (who I had had as the fifth-spotter for literally months. Whoops | ||||
Who was left out? |
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| Paul Dano was obviousy the big snub after a lot of precursor love. But it was a tight race and we suspect Brad Pitt (Babylon), Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse), and Mark Rylance (Bones and All) also won their fair share of votes given precursor buzz and success. Anyone else was probably well behind though. | ||||
Who WILL win? |
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| Ke Huy Quan has proved such a sweeper that it's not even a contest anymore. | ||||
HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? |
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| 40% Heat for Banshees of Inisherin in all categories 32% Colin Farrell & Martin McDonagh. What a trio they make. Package deal 12% Precursor lockstep support 10% Performance / Role Oscar loves an antagonist and tortured artists/musicians and he sorta fits both as he creates the conflict. 5% He's Brendan Gleeson. He's always been very watchable onscreen. |
50% Performance. Magnetic and this time (for a change) he had screen time and character detail to work with. Accent work! |
40% Lifetime Achievement pull He's Judd Hirsch, enduring treasure of stage/screen 30% Fabelman's early Best Picture heat helped with traction 14% Performance/ Role. It may be brief but it's showy 10% Oscar clip realness with gesture "It'll tear you apart!" 5% Less passion for Paul Dano & Eddie Redmayne than expected. 1% Ordinary People |
43% Performance. He steals all his scenes and takes you by surprise given the first impression 27% Heat for Banshees of Inisherin in all categories + campaign coattails: a tight enough ensemble that they felt like a package deal. 11% "There goes that dream" Line reading of the year? 10% Precursor support 5% Rising stardom / rep 4% Role. It wouldn't have landed in lesser hands! |
32% Unbeatable 'child star comeback' narrative (pt 1). 22% Best Picture heat 20% Unfailing Media & Precursor support x Box Office Success = declared the winner months ago 15% Performance / Role. In another life he'd love to do laundry with you! 7% Michelle Yeoh Mania 4% Narrative (pt 2) = Steven Spielberg! In a happy coincidence the man who discovered him was omnipresent this season |
Trivia Time! |
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Born in Dublin, Ireland (which has produced many Oscar nominees) Star Sign: Aries Married with 4 children (his eldest son Domhnall is also a famous actor) Other Select Awards 1 Emmy win (Into the Storm) |
Born in Fayetteville, North Carolina Star Sign: Aries Relationship status: Unknown, no children. At 6'2" the tallest of the male acting nominees this year (tied with Brendan Fraser) Other Select Awards In his short career he's already been Emmy (Atlanta, This is Us), Tony (Lobby Hero) & Oscar nominated (Causeway) though he has yet to win one of the main showbiz prizes.
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Born in the Bronx, New York Star Sign: Pisces Divorced. 3 children. Now holds the record for longest span between two Oscar nominations (42 years) following his first for Ordinary People Other Select Awards Of all 20 nominated actors this year he's on Broadway whe most with 10 shows under his belt and 2 Tony wins in Best Actor in a Play (Conversations with My Father and I'm Not Rappaport) 1 Globe win (Dear John) 2 Emmy wins (Taxi) |
Born in Dublin, Ireland Star Sign: Libra Dating makeup artist Alyson Kierans. They just had a baby boy they named "Brando" Other Select Awards |
Born in Saigon, Vietnam (he's the first Vietnamese actor to be nominated) Star Sign: Leo Married He's fluent in four languages: Cantonese, Mandarin, English, and Vietnamese At 5'5" the shortest of the male acting nominees this year He's the only former child star nominated this year (Goonies/Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom) though Michelle Williams was a working actor quite young Other Select Awards |