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97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024 / March 2, 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

  

AND THE NOMINEES ARE....

 

COSTUME DESIGN

Ariane Philips
nominations
A COMPLETE UNKNOWN

 

Lisy Christl
2nd nomination
CONCLAVE

Janty Yates
3rd nom | 1 win
Crossman
first nomination!
GLADIATOR II

 

 

Linda Muir
first nomination!
NOSFERATU

 

 

 

Paul Tazewell
2nd nomination
WICKED

WHAT SHOULD WIN ? - VOTE DAILY

 

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

We thought that the costume branch's longstanding obsession with Colleen Atwood and their new love for Parrini would bring glory to Beetlejuice Beetlejuice or Maria respectively. We were wrong, this year noone was interested if you weren't either a Best Picture nominee or Nosferatu.

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

 

Tazewell should be writing his speech for Wicked. Anything else would be a shock (which is not an insult to them, just the way things will go)

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

I'd also vote for Wicked from this lineup but my lineup (coming soon) will only feature two of these films since there were some very special contemporary costume design films this year (and Oscar voters have historically ignored those even if the period stuff was weak).
 

 

 

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Lol Crawley
first nomination!
THE BRUTALIST

Greig Fraser
3rd nom | 1 win
DUNE PART TWO
Paul Guilhaume
first nomination!
EMILIA PEREZ
Edward Lachmann
4th nomination
MARIA

Jarin Blaschke
2nd nomination
NOSFERATU

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY

 

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

Given the guild nominations we think Jomo Fray's work on Nickel Boys, and work on The Girl With the Needle were both hovering near the outside of this list. But, given that this year leaned so hard into "best picture heat or else!" perhaps the sixth place finisher was either Phedon Papamichael's work on A Complete Unknown. or Alice Brooks lensing of Wicked. And though he had no traction whatsoever Mikhail Krichman had an insanely strong year with both Vermiglio and The End on view.

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

That's a really good question. It feels like a toss up doesn't it? We'll have to revisit this question closer to the big night.

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

 

From this lineup my choice is either The Brutalist or Dune Part Two and I'd vote the former given that Frasier already won for the first Dune. (In truth though I'm not overly fond of this quintet as The Five)

 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Judy Becker
(2nd nomination), Patricia Cuccia first nomination!
THE BRUTALIST

Suzie Davis (2nd nomination) Cynthia Sleiter
first nomination!
CONCLAVE
Patrice Vermette
(4th nom | 1 win) Shane Vieau (3rd nom | 1 win)
DUNE PART TWO
Craig Lathrop & Beatrice Brentnerova first nomination for each!
NOSFERATU

Nathan Crowley
7th nomination) Lee Sandales (3rd nomination)
WICKED

 

 

WHO SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY

.

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

Color me surprised --given the insanity of Emilia Perez's 13 (THIRTEEN!) nominations that they didn't just place it everywhere. Overall the only one of these nominees that felt like a mild surprise was Conclave. Though previous nominees like Guy Hendrix Dyas and Adam Stockhausen, and Jess Gonchor did fine work in Maria, Blitz, and Saturday Night the films just weren't popular enough for craft attention

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

It's finally Nathan Crowley's turn (Wicked).

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

Nathan Crowley will make a terrific winner for Wicked (FINALLY) but we're also HUGE fans of what Judy Becker does in The Brutalist.
 

 

FILM EDITING

 

ANORA
Sean Baker
(never nominated)

 

THE BRUTALIST
David Jancso (never nom'ed)

CONCLAVE
Nick Emerson (never nom'ed)

EMILIA PEREZ
Juliette Welfling (1 nom)

WICKED
Myron Kerstein (1 nom)

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY

 

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

We thought Dune Part Two and September 5 would land nominations here but were wrong. Another film that it's easy to imagine was thisclose to a nomination was A Complete Unknown 

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

We imagine that if Emilia Perez is going to win any of the visual Oscars it's going to be this one.

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

Given that The Brutalist flies by despite being nearly four hours long, that speaks highly of David Jancso's work!
 

 

 

 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

...
A DIFFERENT MAN
EMILIA PEREZ ...
NOSFERATU
THE SUBSTANCE
WICKED

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY

 
WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?
The other finalists in this category which usess rounds of 'bake-offs' were (alpha order) The Apprentice, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Dune Part Two, Maria, and Waltzing with Brando 

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

We imagine that this goes to The Substance (given that it made it to major nominations against all odds) but it's possible that Emilia Perez sweeps because the industry is clearly obsessed.

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

I'd choose between The Substance or A Different Man (and I'm just thrilled thrilled thrilled that the latter made it since it was ignored everywhere else and it's such a strong movie.
 

 

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

ALIEN ROMULUS

A BETTER MAN DUNE PART TWO
KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES 
WICKED

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY

 
WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?
The other finalists from the 'bake offs' were (in alpha order): Civil War, Deadpool & Wolverine, Gladiator II, Mufasa The Lion King, and Twisters

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

We think Dune Part Two repeats taking home it's only Oscar (after the original installment won six Oscars)

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

I don't have a strong favourite here. You?