Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp Actress | Director
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film
97th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024, 2025 Ceremony: March 2
For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog
AND THE NOMINEES ARE...
stats reflect producing nominations in Best Picture only. * = they have stats in other categories too
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ANORA previous wins: Cannes, and regional critics awards
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THE BRUTALIST Brady Corbet previous wins: regional critics awards
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A COMPLETE UNKNOWN James Mangold -
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CONCLAVE previous wins: mostly ensemble prizes |
DUNE PART TWO Denis Villeneuve) previous wins: a few regional critics awards
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EMILIA PEREZ previous wins: Cannes Jury, EFA, and Golden Globe
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I'M STILL HERE Walter Salles previous wins: some international f eature awards
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THE NICKEL BOYS wins: a couple of critics group awards
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THE SUBSTANCE Coralie Fargeat |
WICKED Jon M Chu
previous wins: NBR and a couple of critics awards |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? VOTE DAILY |
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WHAT WAS LEFT OUT? |
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The precursors suggested that A Real Pain, September 5, and Sing Sing were all possible. But instead they were booted out by critical darling Nickel Boys and international hit I'm Still Here. There were some shared dreams that All That We Imagine As Light was possible. |
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WHAT WILL WIN? |
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While Emilia Perez leads by a lot (13 nominations is... A LOT) we hold out hope that The Brutalist or Conclave (which are much better films) can gain unexpected momentum to defeat it. That said, it's probably Emilia Perez since the industry is obsessed. |
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WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK |
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Anora or The Brutalist would make excellent winners for disparate reasons. |
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| Longest to Shortest | RT / MetaCritis Scores | Do they pass the Bechdel Test? | MPAA Ratings | Nathaniel's Preference |
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So long they're cut up into parts.... keepin' it tight! |
ecstatic response widely liked well reviewed but more divisive |
Superbly I think so... but not with flying colors Definitely not. |
Hard R Soft R PG-13 PG... which is rare for best pics now |
sing hallelujah get ready for the judgement day |
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| Ranked by Horniness | Most likely to become a Broadway musical | Death Count | Ordered by US Release Date | Ranked by Global Box Office |
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"Do you think I'm a nasty girl?" "DTF" "Are you that somebody?" "We don't have to take our clothes off" "No"
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Yes via time machine Wicked small lift to get there... Emilia Perez Complete Unknown Doable with artistry - but maybe don't I'm Still Here They often try, however ill-judged the attempt Conclave Anora God forbid |
Haunted by massacres prior to opening credits Perpetual warfare so lots one possibly but far offscreen 'the little death' only but frequently |
March September Oct Nov Dec Only Technically 2024 (Qualifier) |
🔺 = still collecting coin 1 🔺 Wicked ($718) 2 Dune Part Two ($714) 3 Conclave ($84) 4 The Substance ($76) 5 🔺 A Complete Unknown ($75) 6 Anora ($33) 7 🔺 I'm Still Here ($15) 8 Emilia Perez ($13) 9 🔺The Brutalist ($12) 10 🔺 Nickel Boys ($1) |