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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

91st Oscars. Predicted Nominees of 2018 (2019 Ceremony)- For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

 

AND THE WINNER IS
GREEN BOOK

 

(listed in order of nomination tally, then alphabetically if tied)

 

The Favourite

(Yorgos Lanthimos)
Fox Searchlight 
Nov 23rd
$33+ Domestic Gross 
119 minutes

REVIEW | PODCAST | THE ENDING | RACHEL WEISZ INTERVIEW | SUPPORTING SMACKDOWNSCREENWRITER | TEAM EXPERIENCE AWARDS

10 noms | 1 win
Won: Actress,
Also up for: 
DirScreenplay
 Supp Actress,
 
CinemaCostumes, Edit, Produ Design  

 

Roma

(Alfonso Cuaron)
Netflix
Nov 21st
and streaming Dec 14th
$ N/A 
135 minutes

REVIEW | YALITZA |
TONI COLETTE LOVES IT 

10 noms | 3 wins
Won: DirForeign Film, Cinematography
Also up for: DirScreenplay, Foreign Film
ActressSupp. ActressCinemaProd. Design, Sound Mix, Sound Edit   

 

A Star is Born
(Bradley Cooper)
Warner Bros
Oct 5th
$212+ Domestic Gross

136 minutes

REVIEW | PODCAST
  | THE SOUNDTRACK | BEST MUSICAL MOMENTS | GRAMMY NODS | BIGGEST HITS

8 noms | 1 win
Won: Song
Also up for: Adapt ScreenplayActress, Actor, Supp ActorCinema, Sound Mix

Vice
(Adam McKay)
Annapurna
Dec 21st
$47+
132 minutes

RANDOM THOUGHTS

8 noms | 1 win
Won: Makeup
Also up for: DirScreenplayActor, Supp Actress, Supp Actor, Editing

Black Panther
(Ryan Coogler)
Disney/Marvel
Feb 16th
$700 Domestic Gross
134 minutes

GRAMMY NODS | BIGGEST HITS

7 noms | 3 wins
Won: Costumes, Prod DesignScore,
Also up for: SongSound Mix, Sound Edit  

 
survey solutions

BlacKkKlansman
(Spike Lee)
Focus Features 
Aug 10th
$48.5 Domestic Gross 
135 minutes

REVIEW | 
 PODCAST

6 nominations | 1 win
Won: Adapt Screenplay
Also up for: Dir, Supp Actor, Score, Editing

Bohemian
Rhapsody
(Bryan Singer)
Fox
Nov 2nd
$214+ Domestic Gross
134 minutes

REVIEW | 
PODCAST | BIGGEST HITS

5 nominations | 4 wins
Won: Actor, Editing, Sound Mix, Sound Editing 

Green Book
(Peter Farrelly)
Universal
Nov 21st
$75+ Domestic Gross 
130 minutes

REVIEW | PODCAST

5 nominations | 3 wins
Also Won: Screenplay, Supp Actor, 
Also up for: Actor,  Editing

 

WHAT WILL WIN?

 It looks like a contest between Roma, which has the lead for director and most nominations and critical prizes, the populist appeal of A Star is Born (though that star seems to be fading) or the humor and road trip lightness of Green Book

WHAT SHOULD WIN?

Yorgos Lanthimos' original, biting, hilarious, and surprising palace intrigue triangle The Favourite. 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

 The nominations went as expected here but various pundits believed that either First Man, If Beale Street Could Talk, Cold War or A Quiet Place was right outside the list. 

RANDOM RANKINGS
Because we can't stop listing...

Ranked by Domestic Gross

Ranked by Global Gross

Ranked by RT/Metacritic Scores

MPAA Ratings

Ranked by Running Time (shortest to longest)

MEGA HIT
1. Black Panther $700

BLOCKBUSTERS
2. Bohemian  $216.1
3. A Star is Born $215.2

HIT
4. Green Book  $84.5

MODEST SUCCESS
5. BlacKkKlansman $49.2
6. Vice $47.8
7. The Favourite $34.2

N/A
8. Roma $ Netflix four-walled theaters than wouldn't release figures

GLOBAL DOMINATION
1. Black Panther $1.3 b
2. Bohemian $896.3

MEGA HITS
3. A Star is Born $433.8
4. Green Book $304.1 

SUCCESS!
4. The Favourite $91.3
5. BlacKkKlansman $91.6

MODEST SUCCESS
7. Vice $72.5

N/A
8. Roma $ Netflix four-walled theaters than wouldn't release figures 

CRITICALLY RAVED ABOUT AND FREQUENTLY
1. Roma 96%/96
2. Black Panther 97%/88
3. BlacKkKlansman 95%/83
4. The Favourite 93%/90

VERY WELL LIKED
5. A Star is Born 90%/88

CRITICAL SUCCESS EXCEPT FOR TWITTER
6. Green Book 81%/70

MIXED REVIEWS
7. Vice 64%/61
8. Bohemian Rhapsody 62%/49

R
BlacKkKlansman (violence, language)
Vice (violence, language)
Roma (nudity, violence)
A Star is Born (language, nudity, lotsa substance abuse)

PG-13
Bohemian Rhapsody (language plus implied gay stuff ewww!)
Black Panther (violence)
Green Book (violence, language, implied gay stuff)

REASONABLE LENGTH
1. The Favourite
(the only film under 2 hours)
2. Green Book
3. Vice

TOO LONG
The rest are approximately 2 hours and 15 minutes give or take and all of them feel that long (at least), even the ones we love!
4. [tie] Bohemian RhapsodyBlack Panther
6. [tie] BlacKkKlansman & Roma
8. A Star is Born 
Ranked by Nathaniel's Preference Ranked by Horniness (of characters / mood of film) Ranked by Violence (most to least) Do they pass the Bechdel Test? Most likely to become a Broadway Musical
(hey, all movies are doing it now)
1. The Favourite
near-masterpiece?
2. A Star is Born
awesome movie-movie entertainment
3. Roma
a work of personal art
4. BlacKkKlansman
soulful, expertly honed provocations
5. Black Panther
superhero fun and quality craftsmanship
6. Green Book
very funny if problematic
7. Vice
scattered laughs, messy provocations
8. Bohemian Rhapsody
no comment

DTF
The Favourite

Amorous Intent
A Star is Born

Demure but frisky when you're not looking
Green Book
Bohemian Rhapsody
Roma

Flirts but has other things on its mind
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther


Asexual
Vice

1. Vice Starting endless war for power grabs and profit counts
2. BlacKkKlansman a few deaths, realistic assaults, threats
3. Black Panther deaths but mostly cartoon fighting
4. Roma (1 frightening death, mob mayhem)
5. The Favourite (kicking, poisoning, animal cruelty, etc)
6. Green Book (punching / gunfire / threats)
7. Bohemian Rhapsody (assault on cinema / taste only)

EASY PASS
The Favourite
Roma
Black Panther 

DOES IT PASS?
Vice (I believe the Cheney women talk to each other about campaigns?)

FAIL
Bohemian Rhapsody
A Star is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Green Book

1. Bohemian Rhapsody
(they love a jukebox musical)
2. Green Book
3. A Star is Born (easy but wouldn't it have happened already if it was going to?)
4. Black Panther (It is Disney property)
5. The Favourite

The rest seem impossible but you should never say that because some producers are insane and have money to burn.
6. Roma
7. Vice
8. BlacKkKlansman