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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Congratulations to Birdman & The Imitation Game - stay weird, guys! 

Original Screenplay
BOYHOOD
Richard Linklater
BIRDMAN
Alejandro Gonzáles Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo

FOXCATCHER
Bennett Miller & Dan E Futterman 

GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
Wes Anderson
NIGHTCRAWLER
Dan Gilroy

 The movie has become an indie event but will its loose 'make it up as we go along' feel hurt it in this category while helping it in direction?

The writing branch is usually kind to this kind of stylistic meta feat. It's hard to imagine this not being nominated.

A strange case of category (based on Mark Schultz autobiography and other documents involving the case) but the controversies didn't hurt this team that Oscar likes

 

That "inspired by the writings of..." tag will gave it some leeway in campaigning but its very much an Anderson vision

 Amazing and memorable dialogue and characters

Will Win / Should Win / Left Out

Omissions: I thought that Ida, as the year's big foreign hit, might slip in. Knew Pride wouldn't but feel it's a very skilled screenplay...and it's a debut no less! 

Will Win: This category is actually very difficult to predict. Boyhood could well win all its categories but Supporting Actor but currently it looks like a Birdman versus Grand Budapest Hotel war. They'll want to reward both films (the nomination leaders) somewhere.

Should Win: You wanted to check in to the Budapest in the readers poll. 

 

 

See: NATHANIEL'S BALLOT IN THIS CATEGORY

 

Adapted Screenplay
AMERICAN SNIPER
Jason Dean Hall
IMITATION GAME
Graham Moore
INHERENT VICE
Paul Thomas Anderson
THEORY OF EVERYTHING
Anthony McCarten
WHIPLASH 
Damien Chazelle
based on the memoirs on Chris Kyle but apparently omitting the blood lust and racist bits
Based on the nonfiction book by Andrew Hodges.
Based on the novel by Thomas Pynchon and said to be very faithful to tone and incoherence

 

Based on "“Travelling to Infinity: My Life with Stephen,”" by Jane Wilde (formerly Jane Hawking)

He made a short film of one of the scenes from this film first for financing so the Academy strangely decided this was adapted.
Will Win / Should Win / Left Out

 

Omissions: Gilllian Flynn's award-winning Gone Girl and Nick Horny's adaptation of Wild, both of them bestsellers, were the big misses. Not coincidentally they're both about women.

Will Win: With Gone Girl out of the way, this is a battle between The Imitation Game (one of the only places it could conceivably win) and Whiplash (if its fanbase remained super passionate after the year sorted itself out)

Should Win: You sided with volatile Whiplash in the Readers Poll...

 

See: NATHANIEL'S BALLOT IN THIS CATEGORY