The BAFTA nominations are here!

by Cláudio Alves

Despite four nominations, this was a sad day for "Aftersun" | © A24

In the last two years, BAFTA managed to distance itself from the precursor norm, asserting an individual identity separated from the affairs of predicting the Oscars. Well, it seems such idiosyncrasies were a short-lived fad if this year's nominations are to be trusted. The weirdest thing about their latest slew of nominees is how much they align with expectations and repudiate the very possibility of weirdness. All Quiet on the Western Front leads the pack with 14 nominations, having been recognized in all possible categories apart from Best Actor. Next, we find The Banshees of Inisherin and Everything Everywhere All At Once, with ten each. Those are the only titles whose bounty amounts to double-digit nods.

Come discover the complete list of nominees, after the jump…

"TÁR" | © Focus FeaturesBEST FILM

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Malte Grunert
• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh
• ELVIS Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick, Schuyler Weiss
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Jonathan Wang
• TÁR Todd Field, Scott Lambert, Alexandra Milchan 

The Fabelmans underperformed in the longlists, so its absence isn't surprising. Top Gun's lack of recognition is more shocking, though that shouldn't indicate any fragility on Oscar nomination morning. Elvis keeps getting stronger and stronger, as does All Quiet on the Western Front. With five nominations, TÁR is the likely fifth-placer among the bunch.

BEST DIRECTOR 

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger
• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
• DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
• TÁR Todd Field
• THE WOMAN KING Gina Prince-Bythewood

Park Chan-wook and Gina Prince-Bythewood are two smashing surprises, while the rest are relatively unexciting choices. The saddest exclusion is certainly Aftersun, whose good longlist presence made it seem like it was more of a hit with the BAFTA's voting body. Justice for Charlotte Wells!

"Good Luck to You, Leo Grande" | © Searchlight Pictures BEST LEADING ACTRESS

• CATE BLANCHETT Tár
• VIOLA DAVIS The Woman King
• DANIELLE DEADWYLER Till
• ANA DE ARMAS Blonde
• EMMA THOMPSON Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
• MICHELLE YEOH Everything Everywhere All At Once

Williams misses, underlining how much the British Academy didn't care for The Fabelmans. Still, after SAG also ignored her, her spot in the Oscar lineup feels increasingly unsecured. This is an excellent get for Deadwyler, who felt like she was fading in the race, while Ana de Armas continues her surge to a nomination. Emma Thompson is a delightful addition too, but the competition is still a death match between Blanchett and Yeoh.

BEST LEADING ACTOR

• AUSTIN BUTLER Elvis
• COLIN FARRELL The Banshees of Inisherin
• BRENDAN FRASER The Whale
• DARYL McCORMACK Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
• PAUL MESCAL Aftersun
• BILL NIGHY Living

McCormack's nomination was the day's most pleasant surprise, while Mescal's nomination elicited a breath of relief. Farrell will likely triumph here while Cruise's chances at an elusive Best Actor Oscar nomination dwindle. One wonders if the Aftersun star can get in for such an understated performance, but hope is everlasting, and this is a lovely boost to the young thespian's campaign.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• ANGELA BASSETT Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
• HONG CHAU The Whale
• KERRY CONDON The Banshees of Inisherin
• DOLLY DE LEON Triangle of Sadness
• JAMIE LEE CURTIS Everything Everywhere All At Once
• CAREY MULLIGAN She Said

I wonder if Bassett can continue her televised awards sweep with BAFTA or if another contender will rise to the top. Dolly De Leon nabs another major precursor, while Carey Mulligan probably benefits from some home-turf advantage. Film Twitter is surely aflutter with outrage for Curtis' nomination over Hsu.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 

• BRENDAN GLEESON The Banshees of Inisherin
• BARRY KEOGHAN The Banshees of Inisherin
• KE HUY QUAN Everything Everywhere All At Once
• EDDIE REDMAYNE The Good Nurse
• ALBRECHT SCHUCH All Quiet on the Western Front
• MICHEAL WARD Empire of Light 

Schuch and Ward are the more idiosyncratic picks, while Redmayne surges. It should be noted that Oscar nomination voting ended before this announcement, so they won't influence the final results. However, since BAFTA's membership overlaps with the Academy, their choices might reveal where the industry's attention is focusing. It'll be interesting to see if Ke Huy Quan can continue his sweep or if one of the Banshees actors will triumph here instead.

BEST CASTING

• AFTERSUN Lucy Pardee
• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Simone Bär
• ELVIS Nikki Barrett, Denise Chamian
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Sarah Halley Finn
• TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Pauline Hansson

On the one hand, Aftersun making this lineup is fairly hilarious, considering it only has two roles of prominence. On the other hand, considering it got so little love in other categories, let's not complain about this honor. The Banshees of Inisherin not making the cut may indicate a slight preference for Everything Everywhere All At Once in the major categories where the two titles are in direct competition.

"The Banshees of Inisherin" | © Searchlight Pictures

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
• THE FABELMANS Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg
• TÁR Todd Field
• TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Ruben Östlund

This is The Fabelmans' only BAFTA nomination, a curious place to honor the film all in all. Truth be told, I expect this to be a perfect replica of the eventual Oscar lineup.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell
• LIVING Kazuo Ishiguro
• THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad
• SHE SAID Rebecca Lenkiewicz
• THE WHALE Samuel D. Hunter 

A major miss for Women Talking, which got zero nominations from BAFTA. The Whale scores here after getting zilch from the USC Scripter, while The Quiet Girl is a brilliant addition that won't affect anyone's Oscar predictions. It would have been wonderful if these lists were filled, top to bottom, with such oddball choices instead of the usual suspects.

"Elvis" | © Warner Bros.

BEST EDITING

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Sven Budelmann
• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
• ELVIS Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Paul Rogers
• TOP GUN: MAVERICK Eddie Hamilton

I can only laugh at The Banshees of Inisherin's nomination, or else I might cry.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT James Friend
• THE BATMAN Greig Fraser
• ELVIS Mandy Walker
• EMPIRE OF LIGHT Roger Deakins
• TOP GUN: MAVERICK Claudio Miranda

Is this our Oscar lineup? It wouldn't surprise me, though one shouldn't discount a last-minute surge for The Fabelmans and/or Avatar: The Way of Water.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Christian M. Goldbreck, Ernestine Hipper
• BABYLON Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino
• THE BATMAN James Chinlund, Lee Sandales
• ELVIS Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn
• GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO Curt Enderle, Guy Davis 

That Pinocchio nomination is sublime and a rare celebration of stop-motion scenography. The rest are the expected titles, give or take the Avatar snub.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lisy Christl
• AMSTERDAM J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky
• BABYLON Mary Zophres
• ELVIS Catherine Martin
• MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS Jenny Beavan

The All Quiet on the Western Front and Amsterdam nominations hurt my heart. I get the former, though you'll never get me excited for movie wardrobes singularly made up of military uniforms recreation. It's interesting to note that all of these are 20th-century set period films. Usually, you get either fantasy or earlier historical styles in contention. The last time something comparable happened was in 1990, though Pretty Women is no period film but the rare contemporary narrative nominated for Costume Design.

"Everything Everywhere All At Once" | © A24

BEST MAKE UP & HAIR 

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Heike Merker
• THE BATMAN Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, Zoe Tahir
• ELVIS Jason Baird, Mark Coulier, Louise Coulston, Shane Thomas
• ROALD DAHL'S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Naomi Donne, Barrie Gower, Sharon Martin
• THE WHALE Anne Marie Bradley, Judy Chin, Adrien Morot 

Curious that Amsterdam made it into costumes but not makeup. However, it should be noted that Matilda is not among the Oscar finalists, having been left out of the shortlist.

BEST SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Markus Frank, Kamil Jafar, Viktor Müller, Frank Petzoid
• AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon
• THE BATMAN Russell Earl, Dan Lemmon, Anders Langlands, Dominic Tuohy
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Benjamin Brewer, Ethan Feldbau, Jonathan Kombrinck, Zak Stoltz
• TOP GUN: MAVERICK Seth Hill, Scott R. Fisher, Bryan Litson, Ryan Tudhope 

Once again, we find four Oscar-shortlisted titles, plus another title. This time, it's Everything Everywhere All At Once, underlining the British Academy's love for the weird sci-fi epic melodrama.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE 

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Volker Bertelmann
• BABYLON Justin Hurwitz
• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Carter Burwell
• EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Son Lux
• GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Alexandre Desplat

Another tragic miss for Women Talking. In other news, the possibility of Son Lux being Oscar nominees is delightful to me.

BEST SOUND

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lars Ginzsel, Frank Kruse, Viktor Prášil, Markus Stemler
• AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth, Gary Summers, Gwendoyln Yates Whittle
• ELVIS Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson, Wayne Pashley
• TÁR Deb Adair, Stephen Griffiths, Andy Shelley, Steve Single, Roland Winke
• TOP GUN: MAVERICK Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor, Mark Weingarten 

The pattern continues here, with TÁR being the odd man out. But, honestly, I'm rooting for it, if nothing else, because it'd be the most chaotic choice possible.

"All Quiet on the Western Front" | © Netflix

BEST FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

• ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Malte Grunert
• ARGENTINA, 1985 Santiago Mitre, Producer(s) TBC
• CORSAGE Marie Kreutzer
• DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook, Ko Dae-seok
• THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad, Cleona Ní Chrualaoí 

It's refreshing, if not necessarily pleasant, to see one of these lineups exclude RRR. The biggest beneficiaries of that absence are Corsage and The Quiet Girl. Nice to see that more than half of the nominees are also represented in other categories.

BEST ANIMATED FILM 

• GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar, Alex Bulkley
• MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON Dean Fleisher Camp, Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan, Paul Mezey
• PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH Joel Crawford, Mark Swift
• TURNING RED Domee Shi, Lindsey Collins

Since the Academy has five slots to fill, instead of only four, I assume The Bad Guys will be added to this quartet. Pinocchio is the only nominee with additional nominations (Production Design + Score).

BEST DOCUMENTARY

• ALL THAT BREATHES Shaunak Sen, Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann
• ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golijov, John Lyons
• FIRE OF LOVE Sara Dosa, Shane Boris, Ina Fichman
• MOONAGE DAYDREAM Brett Morgan
• NAVALNY Daniel Roher, Diane Becker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Rae 

Fire of Love and Moonage Daydream continue to amass Best Documentary honors. Let's see if they can keep this momentum with the Academy, whose branch is famously resistant to films made chiefly from archival footage.

"Blue Jean" | © Magnolia Pictures

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM 

• AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells
• THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin
• BRIAN AND CHARLES Jim Archer, Rupert Majendie, David Earl, Chris Hayward
• EMPIRE OF LIGHT Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris
• GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Sophie Hyde, Debbie Gray, Adrian Politowski, Katy Brand
• LIVING Oliver Hermanus, Elizabeth Karlsen, Stephen Woolley, Kazuo Ishiguro
• ROALD DAHL'S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Matthew Warchus, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Jon Finn, Luke Kelly, Dennis Kelly
• SEE HOW THEY RUN Tom George, Gina Carter, Damian Jones, Mark Chappell
• THE SWIMMERS Sally El Hosaini, Producer(s) TBC, Jack Thorne
• THE WONDER Sebastián Lelio, Ed Guiney, Juliette Howell, Andrew Lowe, Tessa Ross, Alice Birch, Emma Donoghue 

As someone who thinks The Wonder is one of 2022's most unfairly underrated gems, I'm overjoyed to see it recognized here. In any case, The Banshees of Inisherin has this in the bag.

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER 

• AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells (Writer/Director)
• BLUE JEAN Georgia Oakley (Writer/Director), Hélène Sifre (Producer)
• ELECTRIC MALADY Marie Lidén (Director)
• GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Katy Brand (Writer)
• REBELLION Maia Kenworthy (Director)

Rooting for Aftersun while also yearning to finally see Blue Jean. I can't believe I'm this excited about a film centering on a PE teacher.

BEST BRITISH SHORT FILM

• THE BALLAD OF OLIVE MORRIS Alex Kayode-Kay
• BAZIGAGA Jo Ingabire Moys, Stephanie Charmail
• BUS GIRL Jessica Henwick, Louise Palmkvist Hansen
• A DRIFTING UP Jacob Lee
• AN IRISH GOODBYE Tom Berkeley, Ross White  

An Irish Goodbye is also shortlisted for the Oscars.

BEST BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

• THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE Peter Baynton, Charlie Mackesy, Cara Speller, Hannah Minghella
• MIDDLE WATCH John Stevenson, Aiesha Penwarden, Giles Healy
• YOUR MOUNTAIN IS WAITING Hannah Jacobs, Zoe Muslim, Harriet Gillian 

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse is also shortlisted for the Oscars

The EE Rising Star Award nominees were previously announced and represent the only category where the public chooses the winner. With his Best Actor nomination, Daryl McCormack is the only "rising star" celebrated outside of that specific lineup. 

What were your favorite BAFTA nominations? What were the most egregious snubs?

Comments

[thefilmjunkie]

Gina Prince-Bythewood, Danielle Deadwyler, and Emma Thompson’s nominations made me so happy. Kinda bummed for The Fablemans, though.

[Tony L]

I wish all the love and hoping for Mescal was redirected to Pope.

[Edwin]

Well, now that all the major precursors have announced their nominations and there's really nothing else to be revealed before the Oscar nominations are announced, here's where I'm at on a few things:

-While I don't think it'll get quite as many nominations as it did at the BAFTAs, I do think All Quiet on the Western Front is going to have a very strong showing. Its Best Picture nomination feels pretty secure at this point, and I think Berger is very possible in Best Director as well.

-Maybe it's a bit premature to definitively proclaim Everything Everywhere All at Once the frontrunner, but it seems to be where the race is headed as it's really the only film (along with Banshees, but unfortunately that's not actually winning very much) that's had a strong showing everywhere, and the narrative and passion are there for it. So I'm going to make a somewhat bold prediction and say EEAAO will even *lead* the nominations by getting in for everything it's expected to plus one or two surprise inclusions, which brings me to the one truly bold prediction I'm making this year: not only will its main quartet of actors all get nominated, but they will even find room for James Hong in the Best Supporting Actor lineup. There's a lot of wiggle room in that category, and he's a beloved actor with "career honors" written all over him in the arguable Best Picture frontrunner. He hasn't shown up anywhere thus far, but if there's an out-of-nowhere acting nomination this year, I could totally see it being him.

-The Fabelmans will obviously do a lot better than it did at the BAFTAs, but it's still going to miss in a few key categories like Editing and probably Actress (I bet the studio is regretting the decision to campaign Williams as a lead). I think it'll end up with 6 or 7 nominations, which is still pretty good but not in the 8 to 10 range that I had it at a few weeks ago.

-I would not be at all surprised if Elvis got 8 nominations or more. I'm personally predicting it in 7 categories, but I have a sneaking suspicion I may still be underestimating it.

[Richter Scale]

"On the one hand, Aftersun making this lineup is fairly hilarious, considering it only has two roles of prominence..."

Oh Cláudio, not you too... yes, it's two roles of prominence, but getting those two roles of prominence cast just right was crucial to Aftersun working, and given that one of those two roles is a child, that's an even greater achievement of casting. Why does it feel in so many places people confuse Best Casting with Best Ensemble?

That said, I do wish Aftersun had shown up in more places, and that the longlists had been 15 wide, which would have made the announcement of these nominations more exciting (I have yet to understand why BAFTA insists it must become an Oscar precursor).

[DK]

These are pretty nice lists—The Fabelmans is the stinker of this year's Oscar contenders and clearly its absence makes space in every category for better things.

[Raul]

I'm getting the sense that a lot of people view "The Fabelmans" as the equivalent of seeing your dad cry. It's appreciated but find it awkward as heck. People just want Spielberg to make dad movies.

[Ryan T.]

The lack of nominations for WOMEN TALKING is indefensible not only for Polley's script, but its cast which are CHOCK full of homegrown (and deserving) talent like Foy, Whishaw, and Buckley. At the very least I thought Whishaw was an easy in but I guess they just HAD to nominate... Eddie Redmayne?! I'm also still annoyed that Carrie Mulligan's fraudulent supporting campaign is being awarded. Speaking of THAT category as well... Lashana Lynch was RIGHT there, BAFTA!.

Note for fellow EEAAO fans: Stephanie Hsu wasn't even part of the longlist so her exclusion here was already predicted.

[Wae Mest]

What's so wrong with BANSHEES editing? It's really shrewd work, crucial to the film's comic timing and sudden dramatic beats. I know your boss is a fan.

[Paranoid Android]

Continuing a discussion on another thread, if Oscar was back to 5 Best Pic nominees, clearly they'd be:

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
ELVIS
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
TAR
FABELMANS

[NATHANIEL R]

Tony -- hmmm. I think Mescal is so much better than Pope in their respective movies! FOr me the highlight of The Inspection was definitely Gabrielle Union.

Paranoid -- how do you figure TOP GUN MAVERICK not being one of them. I think ELVIS is much better but Top Gun would clearly have been one of the 5 (in ye olden times)

DK -- i will never get people's animosity for that movie. My favourite Spielberg in decades!

[Mr Ripley79]

Pleased for Bellwood,well deserved.

McCormack i've been rooting for and there are quite a few here who enjoyed his performance,doubt he and Thompson can break through.

Is Top Gun Maverick beginning to fade.

I hope Williams sits this one out,it's a performance a lot of people clearly aren't connecting with.

I found Mulligan's role less fraudulently categorised than some others,she disappears for stretches and shares most of her scenes with Kazan,Morton's 8 mins are best in show,it's a film unfairly overlooked,I thought it was a very compelling film with top notch performances.

Tar is getting that BP nomination.

Sad for Hsu but can't see why anyone would be outraged when a well iked veteran gets their day in the sun.

Is Davis happening now,she hit every list.

Aftersun wouldn't have worked without a good child actor in the daughter role

Can Mescal get the last BA spot,fingers crossed.

[Doug]

Oh, please, please, please let this mean The Fabelmans and Spielberg are out of the running for any major Oscar wins!!!! The time to award Spielberg would have been last year, as West Side Story was FAR superior to this year's meandering self-congratulatory mess. There are some phenomenal candidates for director sitting right there with the wild inventiveness of The Daniels, who really pulled off something impossible, or the delicate and devastating precision of Fields, who would be my pick for the win if I could vote.

I hope Actor and Actress remain too close to call all the way until Oscar night. I'd be thrilled for either Farrell or Fraser. And while it's impossible to deny Blanchett's brilliance, I really hope Yeoh ends up on top. She pulled off gonzo weirdness, action, AND genuine emotion all at the same time, and her speech would be an all-timer.

[Mr Ripley79]

@Nat Why do you think Top Gun Maverick would be one of the final 5 if the original wasn't.

[Paranoid Android]

@Nathaniel -- Elvis seems like blockbuster + prestige, whereas Top Gun just seems like blockbuster (well-liked, sure, but not that extra indescribably creative/visionary element). Just my two cents of course. Just don't see what it would knock out.. all the others are on track for director/screenwriter/acting nods & wins as well.

[GreyDog]

I won't be sad if Hsu misses at the Oscars -- she was the weak link in that film for me.

[jules]

Nathaniel - I agree with you on The Fabelmans. But I think it will age very well, particularly in relation to some of the films that are getting elevated this Oscar season.

[Ryan Steinke]

AFTERSUN deserved twice as many nominations but so thrilled for Mescal. Also, love that TAR pulled off both Best Film/Best Directing noms AND one for Sound! Bummed no EO. ALL QUIET remains vastly overrated in my opinion, although it's looking like it'll do well on Oscar nomination morning.

[Michael R]

I am predicting a Spielberg snub on Tuesday...

[Elazul]

I also don't find Mulligan's placement as fraud, she does disappear for a notable amount of time, plus one can also view it as "everyone is supporting". I concur that Morton is the best part of movie that fell flat in my opinion. Redmayne is a massive fraud though, for a long time the title character of a movie was definitely considered as lead. I do think he is in the Oscar lineup, simply because they are not going to leave out an established performer with more than one nominations under his belt and make it an all freshmen lineup.

The costume design lineup is interesting and I think there is a chance that this lineup repeats at the Oscars or it's just Black Panther replacing Amsterdam. Lisy Christl got in for Anonymous in 2011 so a coattail nomination in this category is likely if AQOTWF surges in main categories. Is this the most notable showing for Amsterdam so far in terms of awards recognition?

Otherwise the nominations are definitely echo the 2010s with little differences to the Oscars with one additional nomination being added so stuff like Good Luck To You Leo Grande and Aftersun can shine alongside usual suspects.

I think Nighy can still win here and Elvis being in BP might mean Butler winning.

Off topic, but what the hell is going on at Variety? They are making some incredibly weird predictions, Tom Hanks in lead actor, Michelle Williams in supporting actress, Don't Worry Darling in costume design (I know the guild nominated it but it has stiff competition), plus Triangle of Sadness and Women Talking in BP instead of Avatar & Black Panther and their predicted winner is Top Gun...

[Antônio]

All Quiet on the Costume Design Front: never underestimate the power of the Heinrich tag and the French lady’s scarf…

[MM]

more proof that AWARD SHOWS DON"T MATTER!!!! Elvis is NOT one of the best movies of the year, it just isn't.

[Chris]

@elazul -- That 5th spot in actor is so up for grabs that I can see Hanks making it. He probably would've made the Globes if the film started screening a little earlier.

The Avatar snub does seem foolish, but neither Women Talking nor Triangle of Sadness are completely dead yet. I have Triangle in over Black Panther.

[jules]

Scott Feinberg is predicting Williams in Supporting, too. If both Variety and the Hollywood Reporter are predicting her, there must be Academy members voting for her in that category.

[Max Brandt]

Carey Mulligan is definitely a co-lead, even if she had less screen time than Zoe.

The same with Janelle Monae in Glass Onion. That movie is about her character and she has more screen time than Daniel Craig.

In my opinion, de Leon, Chau, Condon, Hsu and Lee Curtis should be the Supporting actress nominees. We all love Bassett, but seriously that performance??? I have a feeling though that de Leon and Hsu will end up missing. A shame.

[Tony L]

will the charts be updated once more before Tuesday?

WILD CARD predictions for acting categories:

ACTOR - Jeremy Pope (because no one else is predicting him)
ACTRESS - Mia Goth (how INSANE would that be?!?)
SUPP ACTOR - Micheal Ward (a la LaKeith Stanfield)
SUPP ACTRESS - Jean Smart (a la Judi Dench)

What the hell right LOL

[Mike Johnson]

Finally watched "Aftersun." What an absolute gut punch of a movie. But absolutely beautiful in every single way. Wells is a major find. Mescal proves "Normal People" was not a fluke. I knew he'd be great, but he transcended all expectations. Personal favorite performance of the year. He's young so I'm okay with the elders winning, but he deserves every single nomination he's getting this year.

And good for Leo Grande. And De Armas.

[Finbar McBride]

I don’t put too much stock on BAFTA’s snub of Tom Cruise and Top Gun: Maverick. BAFTA voters have never been Cruise fans. He has only been nominated once - Born on the Fourth of July in 1989. To my knowledge no Tom Cruise film has ever been on the BAFTA ballot for Best Picture.

[Elazul]

Jules: Either we are going to witness a category placement correction like The Reader or Variety/THR is personally rooting for her despite of SAG&BAFTA snub.

[DK]

People tend to talk about Michelle Williams like she’s the second coming of Gena Rowlands or something. I’ve always found it cultish and irritating—she’s been great in weepy indie movies but My Week With Marilyn was another WTF moment where I truly didn’t get the hype. It says something that De Armas is rarely measured against that (bafflingly Oscar nominated, Globe-winning) performance from not too long ago. Best forgotten, and it is!

But anyway, some people seem defensive at the suggestion that she has ANY limitations whatsoever onscreen, could get it wrong, could misfire. IMO you’d have to drink a lot of that Williams Kool-Aid to think she was great in The Fabelmans.

[Joe G.]

@DK, I think the thing that is sometimes missing from Michelle Williams' performances, and that's missing for me from her Fabelman's performance, is that she isn't always exhilarating to watch. That's not bad, per-say, as she digs into characters and does excellent work. But when held up against some of the other contenders this year, it makes it more difficult to make the case that she's a top tier contender. Especially given the character she's playing, you would expect her to really steal the film, and she doesn't. I think it's why she seems to be fighting for the fifth slot.

I will say, though, that there have been moments throughout her career where she's been exhilarating to watch. Her work in Blue Valentine and Fosse Verdon top the list. But she's marvelous in her big scene in Manchester by the Sea and I think has some moments in Marilyn that work brilliantly (Shall I be her).

[Joe G.]

These nominations aren't my favorite. The 2020 nominations were so exciting because they were so independent and felt more like 1980s and 1990s BAFTA nominations.

The Daryl McCormack and Emma Thompson nomination is great, and I hope their film takes the best British Film prize. Their performances were revelatory, and the fact that they were both honored a bit unexpected - reminds me of the Jamie Bell and Annette Bening nominations from a few years ago that were richly deserved.

Very glad to see Michael Ward here, though his was a lead performance. He was brillant and played off of Olivia Colman well. I suspect, had she been longlisted, she would be here. I wonder why they snubbed her.

The Angela Bassett nom gives me hope that she could get nominated and go all the way. Not sure that she will, but it feels like she has more momentum now. There was no reason for BAFTA to give her a nomination unless they liked her performance. Though, they do give nominees to action nominees more frequently.

[Joe G.]

Also, though she wasn't shortlisted, I'm sad Samantha Morton isn't here. Her work in She Said should have been honored somewhere, and I do think Mulligan's campaign sucked up any oxygen for the other support actresses in that film.

[Tony L]

@Joe G - you never know, Morton over Mulligan could be this year’s Dench over Balfe. Morton being in The Whale might help her remind the voters of her immense talent. I still wish she had been nominated for The Messenger.