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SAG Ensemble Predictions

"How is no one talking about the kids from IT????? They were amazing" - David

"I think Girls Trip makes it. Or st least Tiffany Haddish gets a nod. Right now, I’m thinking both?" - Roger

"In terms of crazy nominations that will never happen in a million years, I'd be elated to see something like The Beguiled or mother! nominated." - Film Junkie

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Index of Predictions | PictureActress | Actor | Supp ActressSupp Actor | Foreign | Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation

84th Oscars. Director Contenders for the Films of 2011

Will (& Did) Win: Hazanavicius
Should Win: Hazanavicius
But We'd Be Thrilled, Too, If It Were: Malick
Spoiler: Scorsese or Payne

Reader's Rank (Polling Closed): MALICK (31%), HAZANAVICIUS (30%), SCORSESE (26%), ALLEN (8%) AND PAYNE (3%)

AND THE NOMINEES ARE...

 

 

Woody Allen
75 years old | films
7 noms | 1 win *in this category*

MIDNIGHT IN PARIS

wins: just for writing

Michel Hazanavicius
44 yrs old | 4 films
1st nomination
THE ARTIST

wins: 
NYFCC BFCA, Oscar, and critics wins

 

Terrence Malick
67 yrs old | 5 films
2 nomination in this category
TREE OF LIFE 

wins:
 LAFCANSFC
OFCS and critics prizes

Alexander Payne
50 yrs old | 5 films
2 nominations in this category
THE DESCENDANTS

wins: just for writing

 

Martin Scorsese
7 noms | 1 win
*in this category*
HUGO 

wins: Globes and some critics wins

Woody used to be a favorite of the directors branch and this surprise hit is a ticket back. Plus it adds a bit of bite to this Year of Nostalgia since Woody's film finds it suspect!

The frontrunning picture, however slim the margin, often carries the director to glory... but that's fine when the prizes are so richly deserved.

The directors came through for one of the true auteurs. Can he keep up his current bizarrely quick (for him) working pace and make this regular like?

Payne's films have historically not done as well on nomination morning as one might have expected Schmidt missing a few key nods, Sideways missing actor. But he does seem secure this year.

The ongoing lifetime achievement meme + such a personal tribute to the cinema has won him much love this season. 

 
Who Got Snubbed?
Starting with Cannes Drive's director Nicolas Winding Refn has been something of a sensation. At the very least he's jacked up his career. But Oscar wasn't ready for him. Cinephiles hoped that "persona non grata" Lars Von Trier might rise but Oscar's never taken a shine to him. His only nomination is in songwriting (hee!). If you ask the DGA they'd definitely answer with their new hero David Fincher. We've loved him since Alien3 and finally the rest of the world has caught up. 
Who Will Win?
Judging by precursors this contest is between Hazanavius the nostalgic trickster and Scorsese the nostalgic sentimentalist. But I wouldn't rule out Payne since he's become more and more loved with each new film. But in the end let's say it'll be Hazanavicius
OSCAR NIGHT... The prize went to Hazanavicius