BAFTA makes a split-decision on "Barbenheimer"

by Nathaniel R

Sandra Hüller scored double nominations with BAFTA. Can she repeat that trick at the Oscars?

While "Barbenheimer" has largely led the American precursor system's many many many many many awards bodies / nomination tallies, the British felt differently. They'll take only the latter half of that summertime phenom; Oppenheimer nabbed 13 nods but Barbie only received 5. The runner up to Oppenheimer's British dominance was Poor Things with 11 citations (though none of those went to either of its two supporting actors who've had a curious precursor season despite being in such a popular film.) Killers of the Flower Moon and Anatomy of a Fall and Germany's Sandra Hüller (double-nominated) were also very popular with BAFTA voters. 

All the nominations and commentary are after the jump...

BEST FILM

• Anatomy of a Fall
• The Holdovers
• Killers of the Flower Moon
• Oppenheimer
• Poor Things 

The big surprise here -- though maybe we shouldn't be surprised? -- is the lack of Barbie and the inclusion of Anatomy of a Fall. Otherwise it's the DGA's list which is, as we've noted, usually the top five films in "Best Picture" over at the Oscars. Anatomy of a Fall is sure doing well for itself this season. 

BRITISH FILM

• All of Us Strangers
• How to Have Sex
• Napoleon
• The Old Oak
• Poor Things
• Rye Lane
• Saltburn
• Scrapper
• Wonka
• The Zone of Interest

Poor Things is the only crossover with the "Best Film" list. Curious list and curious that Oppenheimer doesn't count as British despite its star director / producer pair. Of these films The Old Oak and How to Have Sex haven't made it to US release yet. 

LEAD ACTRESS

• Fantasia Barrino - The Color Purple
• Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall
• Carey Mulligan - Maestro
• Vivian Oparah - Rye Lane
• Margot Robbie - Barbie
• Emma Stone - Poor Things

A major surprise here with Fantasia Barrino honored but Lily Gladstone left on the cutting room floor. Not that this means anything in Oscar voting. BAFTA has a very complex process to arrive at their acting lineups and it isn't at all similar to Oscar's process.

LEAD ACTOR 

• Bradley Cooper - Maestro
• Colman Domingo - Rustin
• Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
• Barry Keoghan - Saltburn
• Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
• Teo Yoo - Past Lives 

A major bummer that Andrew Scott couldn't score on his home turf for All of Us Strangers (despite the film receiving TWO acting nominations). We'll assume he was in 7th place. Colman Domingo is the lone nominee for Rustin, something that's increasingly hard to do at the Oscars in this new era wherein Academy voters only appear to watch the top 15 contenders for the Best Picture slots and Rustin isn't in that conversation. We wait with bated breath to see if he makes Oscar's lineup.

Nice get for Teo Yoo, here! 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

• Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer
• Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple
• Claire Foy - All of Us Strangers
• Sandra Hüller - The Zone of Interest
• Rosamund Pike - Saltburn
• Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers

While The Color Purple was ignored in the craft categories  it scored two acting nods with BAFTA. The interesting curio here is Claire Foy appearing for her brilliant work in All of Us Strangers. The strangest nomination, according to me, belongs to Sandra Hüller. While she's a gifted actress in general and absolutely worthy in Anatomy of a Fall, it's difficult to see why people might consider her work in The Zone of Interest (a brilliant film) as worthy of "best" of an entire year  -- the director and the sound design are the undisputed 'stars' of that particular picture. So it must be a case of amazing timing since people are so excited about Anatomy...

SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon
• Robert Downey Jr - Oppenheimer
• Jacob Elordi - Saltburn
• Ryan Gosling - Barbie
• Paul Mescal - All of Us Strangers
• Dominic Sessa - The Holdovers 

A surprising list. Both Poor Things actors are shoved aside to make young rising stars: Paul Mescal (All of Us Strangers),  Dominic Sessa (The Holdovers) and Jacob Elordi (Saltburn) and yet moustache-twirling Robert De Niro is nominated even though the much more effective Lily Gladstone wasn't for Killers of the Flower Moon. Make it make sense!!!

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH, WRITER, DIRECTOR, OR PRODUCER

• Blue Bag Life -Lisa Selby (Director), Rebecca Lloyd-Evans (Director, Producer), Alex Fry (Producer)
• Bobi Wine: The People's President - Christopher Sharp (Director)
• Earth Mama -Savanah Leaf (Writer, Director, Producer), Shirley O'Connor (Producer), Medb Riordan (Producer)
• How to Have Sex - Molly Manning Walker (Writer, Director)
• Is There Anybody Out There? - Ella Glendining (Director) 

Bobi Wine scores again. Will it be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the Oscars?

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE 

• 20 Days in Mariupol
• Anatomy of a Fall
• Past Lives
• Society of the Snow
• The Zone of Interest

It's always tricky to name a category or attempt to be politically correct with category names. People objected to "Foreign" for obvious reasons and International couldn't cut with BAFTA since they tend to favor American pictures. But "Not in the English Language" doesn't truthfully describe Anatomy of a Fall or Past Lives which are both probably 50% English.

DOCUMENTARY

• 20 Days in Mariupol
• American Symphony
• Beyond Utopia
• Still: A MIchael J Fox Movie
• Wham!

All but Wham! are in the finals for an Oscar nomination in the Documentary category. 

ANIMATED FILM 

• The Boy and the Heron
• Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget
• Elemental
• Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Chicken Run 2 has been a no-show until now during awards season. Can Aardman loyalty save it from the lack of conversation around it and place it firmly in Oscar's Animated Feature nominee list? We were predicting it until last week but Suzume, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turles, and Super Mario Bros the Movie have all had a stronger presence in awards season thus far. 

DIRECTOR 

• Bradley Cooper - Maestro
• Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest
• Andrew Haigh - All of Us Strangers
• Chris Nolan - Oppenheimer
• Alexander Payne - The Holdovers
• Justine Triet - Anatomy of a Fall

In an interesting major twist on the DGA choices, they've dumped Greta Gerwig and Martin Scorsese and Yorgos Lanthimos (the latter two despite their films doing incredibly well with BAFTA) and replaced them with Andrew Haigh, Justine Triet, and Bradley Cooper! 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• Anatomy of a Fall
• Barbie
• The Holdovers
• Maestro
• Past Lives

Barbie will be competing in Adapted with Oscar but the rest of these films should feel very secure about impending Screenplay nominations at the Oscars.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• All of Us Strangers
• American Fiction
• Oppenheimer
• Poor Things
• The Zone of Interest

One of these will have to go at the Oscars to make room for Barbie. 

CASTING 

• All of Us Strangers - Kahleen Crawford
• Anatomy of a Fall - Cynthia Arra
• The Holdovers - Susan Shopmaker
• How to Have Sex - Isabella Odoffin
• Killers of the Flower Moon - Ellen Lewis, Rene Haynes

Even though we're absolutely certain the Academy would have terrible nominations in a Casting category, it's silly that they don't have one. 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

• Killers of the Flower Moon - Rodrigo Prieto
• Maestro - Matthew Libatique
• Oppenheimer - Hoyte Van Hoytema
• Poor Things - Robbie Ryan
• The Zone of Interest - Lukasz Zal 

It's the ASC list with the exception of The Zone of Interest taking the 'art film' slot that went to El Conde in the Guild's parallel let. I could see BAFTA's list easily translating to Oscar but you never know and there are definitely several worthy candidates. 

EDITING

• Anatomy of a Fall - Laurent Senechal
• Killers of the Flower Moon - Thelma Schoonmaker
• Oppenheimer - Jennifer Lame
• Poor Things - Yogros Mavropsaridis
• The Zone of Interest - Paul Watts

Another list that's easy to picture repeating at the Oscars though we suspect Barbie does better across the pond and boots The Zone of Interest. 

COSTUME DESIGN 

• Barbie -Jacqueline Durran
• Killers of the Flower Moon - Jacqueline West
• Napoleon - Dave Crossman, Janty Yates
• Oppenheimer - Ellen Mirojnick
• Poor Things - Holly Waddington

Oscar is very fond of Mark Bridges (Maestro) who doesn't show up here. Will he knock one of these players out in Oscar's list? 

MAKEUP AND HAIR 

• Killers of the Flower Moon
• Maestro
• Napoleon
• Oppenheimer
• Poor Things

All five of these pictures made the Oscar finals (10 films wide) in their parallel category. But for the list to repeat they'll have to stave off the frostbite of Society of the Snow, the horror prosthetics of The Last Voyage of the Demeter, and Helen Mirren as Golda (among others)

ORIGINAL SCORE 

• Killers of the Flower Moon
• Oppenheimer
• Poor Things
• Saltburn
• Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse

All five of these films are the Oscar finalist list (15 wide) but this list does not include John Williams who is eligible for Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny and it will be quite historic if the Oscar voters pass him by since they can't live without him (53 nominations!) if he's eligible.

PRODUCTION DESIGN 

• Barbie - Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer
• Killers of the Flower Moon - Jack Fisk & Adam WIllis
• Oppenheimer - Ruth De Jong & Claire Kaufman
• Poor Things - Shona Heath, James Prices, Zsuzsa Mihalek
• The Zone of Interest - Chris Oddy, Joanna Maria Kus, Katarzyna Sikora

Barbie is surely the frontrunner to win in the parallel category. but will the others all make the Oscar list or will one of them fall to The Color Purple or Wonka or Napoleon or Maestro or or or...

SOUND

• Ferrari
• Maestro
• Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
• Oppenheimer
• The Zone of Interest 

We've long predicted that Ferrari would land in this category at the Oscars (despite its lack of buzz). But we have trouble picturing MIssion Impossible making it to Oscar race. As impossible as it is to believe Oscar voters have never recognized that franchise in any category -- not even  Sound or Visual Effects! 

VISUAL EFFECTS

• The Creator
• Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3
• Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
• Napoleon
• Poor Things 

Napoleon had a better than expected showing at BAFTA. Will it also land Oscar noms? Does anyone actually love that movie? It would be a real shame if Oscar voters ignored Godzilla Minus One since it crossed the hurdle of actually making the Oscar finals. 

BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

• Crab Day
• Visible Mending
• Wild Summon

Wild Summon is also a possibility at the Oscars (in animated short)

BRITISH SHORT FILM

• Festival of Slaps
• Gorka
• Jellyfish and Lobster
• Such a Lovely Day
• Yellow 

Yellow is also a possibility at the Oscars (in live action short) 

EE RISING STAR AWARD 

• Phoebe Dynevor
• Ayo Edebiri
• Jacob Elordi
• Mia McKenna-Bruce
• Sophie Wilde

This one is voted on by the public. Tough to say who might win but it's quite a good list. 

What do you think of BAFTA's nominations this year? 

Comments

[Tony L]

THANK YOU BAFTA for nominating Teo Yoo, the MVP of Past Lives in my opinion. Also props for snubbing Barbie in Best Picture - doesn’t deserve a nom and the Brits understand that.

[Ryan T.]

The Teo Yoo nomination is inspired. But no Andrew Scott leaves an ugly taste in my mouth. Just absolutely ridiculous and plain stupid. They loved the film even! It's absolutely maddening. Can't muster up any other thoughts than those I'm afraid.

[thevoid99]

No America Ferrera? BOO!!!!

[Philip H.]

On one hand, I'm grateful we can look forward to a few minor curveballs at BAFTA, with longshot and dark horse contenders receiving one major nomination for the season...

On the other hand, however, because of their juried process, it feels entirely calculated and disingenuous. I suppose there's no right or wrong way to give out awards, but half the acting nominees are juried, as well as over half the directing nominees.

We'll never know who *actually* received enough votes for a nomination. If they include the top 3 receivers of votes, then add 3 more nominees based largely on virtue signaling/things that have nothing to do w the art, it's basically a three-way race between the people who actually earned the nomination based on votes once voting for the win begins.

This process also starts discussions online, with people assuming who was juried and who was voted, discounting everyone's nomination one way or another. I just don't see who this helps. How is it inclusive if it's forced? BAFTA has had identity issues for a while now, but it has felt a lot phonier the past few years.

Happy for Fantasia, though. Happy for Dominic Sessa, even though he's totally a lead. Andrew Scott should've been in the Best Actor lineup for sure.

[Fabio Dantas Flappers]

Except for the snubs of Bening, Foster and Bell, - and some stupid inclusions -, it's a great list.
BAFTA learned a lesson from 2020...

[Richter Scale]

Funny how different people see different performances, because while you see Robert De Niro as "moustache-twirling", I see him as a very effective study of a man so comfortable in his own evil he's hardly breaking a sweat while he's declaring to be friends with the Osage. I honestly walked away from Killers of the Flower Moon thinking his was the best performance in the film (it has been a long time since I've been impressed with a De Niro performance).

[Paranoid Android]

Gradually forming my No Guts No Glory to be Dominic Sessa in the Holdovers. I think he’s making it in despite little precursor support.

[Gallavich]

In the last years Bafta's nominations have been very satisfying. Especially in the best director category.

Best actress race for the Oscars is starting to be interesting if we consider that Stone won the CCA and that Gladstone isn't nominated here. Staying on Oscars I would love a Sandra Huller win and I feel that we could have another typical situation where a Scorsese movie gets a lot of nominations and 0 wins.

[Gallavich]

@Richter Scale-if an Actor with the capital A like De Niro is in a Scorsese's movie what else can we expect?

[Carlos]

@Paranoid: I'm also leaning towards a Lucas Hedges-like surprise nod for Sessa. The movie's a crowd-pleaser that'd been performing well across the board, plus he really holds his own along 2 great experienced actors... makes sense!

[Mr Ripley79]

Their voting system is different and ever after all these years they still sway to British actors which explains Elordi,Mescal,Pike,Foy and Keoghan.

Gladstone missing is very shocking since many have anointed her good performance as some sort of undeniable juggernaut.

I never expected the Nyad ladies to show up but it is a bit of a blow

Saltburn is growing faster.

I am a fan of the 2 AOUS actors showing up but Scott missing is odd

Yoo getting a nod was fantastic he's been undersung all season and Greta is shakier in Best Actress and to be honest not quite on Yoo's level.

I am perplexed at the standard rote villanis getting all the nods,both Roberts are fine if that's your thing but each performance is uninspired,panto villainy 101.

Is May December dead in the water now.

McAdams was a critics thing,she may just overcome the lack of love elsewhere,her film is much better and more heartfelt than Barbie.

Sessa I do believe will get that 5th supporting spot with Dafoe or Ruffalo joining.

They liked Maestro and i'm pleased,it's one of my favourites of this year,I doubt Mulligan is snubbed now as some predict .

Huller's 2 nominations shows how strong she hand her films are.

Barbies slight under performance is welcome,I admired the production design and costumes but hated the songs and think Ferrara is in at Oscar,people seem to have swallowed that monologue up.

Oppenheimer's a good film but I am not buying into the Masterpiece narrative.

[Amy Camus]

Richter Scale - My thoughts exactly. DeNiro was the only reason for sitting through the 2 1/2 hours of KOFM. It's been years (decades?) since I've been impressed with one of his performances, and this time he showed just what a powerful actor he can be.

I am really quite shocked and disappointed by Scott's omission. Unforgivable. And I'm very disappointed that Jamie Bell was also omitted.

And I know it's not popular on this website, but I really liked Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer. She's way way better than Da'Vine Randolph whose steamrolling through the awards this season will be a future source of mirth and disbelief.

[Thomas Frovin]

There is something superweird about these nominations, particularly the omissions.

To be understood: The lack of Margo Robbie make sense in itself. As does, to some degree, the lack of Poor Things supporting players.

Not to be understood:
The lack of Gladstone is baffling.
They clearly adored All of Us Strangers; leaving out Andrew Scott makes no sense whatsoever.
Both of these omissions feels both very on the nose (a US frontrunner left out) and not (a homegrown character actor breaking out).

The support for the Saltburn troupe is, at least to me, quite surprising, given that the film hardly registers in other categories. I thought it was not more than an online phenomena.

Anatomy of a Fall and Past Lives in the non-english category just takes up space from films that could have needed the spotlight, also, it makes really not complete sense to consider them "non-english". This is against the expressed desire for diversity.

Also, the steps taken to secure diversity has changed things.
Barrino, Oparah, Yoo and Domingo would not have been nominated 10 years ago.

[cal roth]

I don't think De Niro was moustache twirling? In fact, I was really impressed by the way he made evil sound casual. It's a very modulated work, even discreet if you think about how loud an EVIL DE NIRO can be.

[charlea]

My thoughts:

1) I am kind of glad about the snub for Gladstone. She’s fine in the movie but was never given enough material to be a far and away front runner. Also, WE NEED AWARDS SHOWS TO NOMINATE DIFFERENT PEOPLE SO THEY ARENT JUST AWARDING THE SAME PEOPLE AT EVERY SHOW!
2) I’m so glad they nominated the better Past Lives performance. The Greta Lee praise was a bit too much. Teo Yoo is far better.
3) @ Philip H: you are so right with your “on the other hand” comments. To me the only silver lining to it is that, as I said in #1, it helps prevent the same nominees at literally every show. Even if the nominations aren’t a true reflection of the voters’ intents (which definitely is a credibility issue to me), at least there is SOME variety.
4) If there was only going to be one acting nominee from Killers of the Flower Moon, I’m excited it was the best performance from the film. DeNiro was incredible in his (leading) role.
5) I’m here for all the Maestro love. A great film.

[DK]

This supporting actress lineup is fab—Oscar's won't be this good but we can hope.

Overall this supports my theory that people are underrating Saltburn's chances.

I agree that the jury process is really undermining to the nominees...when these races have three or four obvious locks, it's very easy to tell who the juried selections were. I would barely call it "speculation," it's just evident.

[Elazul]

Surprised that Bening didn't make the cut, I believe back in 2017 BAFTA was the only one that threw her a bone for Film Stars Don't Die In Liverpool. I guess she won't make Oscar lineup either. She keeps having roles but there is not enough hype it seems.

[charlea]

@Elazul: I’m not sure Bening makes it either, BUT this time she does have the Netflix machine behind her. If she makes it, I think that will be the reason why this time and not other recent times.

[Joe G.]

Despite my utter confusion about what anyone sees in Saltburn, it's always nice when the BAFTAs go their own way.

I'm very happy to see Scrapper make it in (talk about a little film with a big heart). I'm curious to see Rye Lane.

I do love that Fantasia made it in here. She gave a brilliant breakout performance that deserves recognition, even if she doesn't get an Oscar nom. Her big scene/musical number gave me chills and led to an applause from my theater in December. Similarly, I feel really happy for Teo Yoo, who has a difficult role in Past Lives and really knocks it out of the park. Greta Lee is the standout, but the film doesn't work without his quiet, rock solid performance.

I'm really glad Robert De Niro is here and continues to show up. Though I see him as a bit of a lead, I thought he was brilliant in how obvious he made his evil character, further driving home KOTFM's themes about how white supremacy so easily, and with so much approval, reigned terror on the Osage nation.

[DK]

Also—I love the BAFTAs.

A nomination or a win here is a *very* high honor in its own right, not just a means to an end (the Oscars). Not only do they have better taste than the Oscars in many cases, but receiving a BAFTA or BAFTA nomination is a much more prestigious feather in the cap than SAG, Globe, etc. Those American precursors only matter in relation to the Oscars. BAFTA has its own significance, as do the Spirit Awards.

I always feel better remembering that Oscar-less women like Michelle Pfeiffer, Sigourney Weaver, Helena Bonham Carter, etc. have BAFTAs at home.

[Joe G.]

I think the Bening snub here makes sense. She's in such an American film that's fine, but not an all-timer. For her to get in here, she'd have to be a frontrunner for the win. I think her previous nom was more so because she was in a British film, set in the UK, that voters adored. Viola made it in for her performance in Widows for very similar reasons.

[Nic Van]

The baftas have become disingenuous. The juried system was implemented to avoid being seen as "non-inclusive" rather than honoring what they feel as the best work.

Also, 5 film nominees, 6 acting nominees, 6 directing nominees.. seriously? Just stick to 5 in every category for cryin' out loud.

[Frank Zappa]

I also think De Niro is the MVP of the three principals in KotFM, as good as Gladstone is. And I agree with Amy Camus about Blunt, have not understood all the pooh-poohing about a very intriguing and (for her) unusual performance.

But I just saw Poor Things last night and I kinda wish I hadn’t. It has blown everything else out of the water. I’m afraid something similar will happen to me when I finally get to All of Us Strangers, The Zone of Interest and A Thousand and One.

[Mr Ripley79]

@FrankZappa I hope you like One Thousand and One it's a bit Moonlightish in it's structure but Teyana Taylor's performance is the best i've seen this year so far,I haven't seen Emma Stone or Sandra Huller.

[Gallavich]

DK@-So Wenders for directing and a Lynch movie for best picture

[Peggy Sue]

Anarchy in the UK! Absolutely love chaos in the race. Can't understand the type of pundit who wants the same 5 nominees everywhere.

[Peggy Sue]

putting back Glazer in the race AS he deserves.

[Peter]

DK - I agree although I think the SAG also has merit as its own award, and many actors view it as such since it is purely bestowed by their peers.

The Globes, Critics Choice, etc. are quite silly.

[DK]

@Peter—I see that, SAG wins often seem personal to the winners.

But I don’t hold them in very high regard because they’ve become a popularity contest—popular films, popular movies, very little range or adventurism, quite middlebrow.

If I saw a movie and said “this feels like a SAG nominee” I wouldn’t mean it as a compliment. Even (and especially) SAG’s weird choices are basic. Whereas I’d rush to see anything that “feels like a BAFTA nominee” or “Spirit nominee.”

[Mike Johnson]

I can't comment on much since I haven't seen many of the front runners, but Melton deserved to be short listed for a few of his scenes in the underrated May December.

But having seen "All of Us Strangers" less than hour ago, it blows my mind that Scott missed here. As fantastic as Foy and my imaginary boyfriend, Mescal, are, Scott blew me away. Every single nerve is on full display.

While Barry gives my favorite audacious performance, Scott's quiet subtlety is pure beauty. I had tears in my eyes multiple times at the emotion he delivers. As people discover this film (there were only five people in my theater), I think this will be one of remembered as one of the very best performances of last year.

[charlea]

@Peggy Sue: Yes! 1000% about why the hell people want the same nominees at every show. WHY???

[Stephen C]

I think America Ferrera's big moment at the Critics Choice Awards coming right as Oscar voting was starting gives her a final push to make the lineup, despite missing with industry groups.

Holdovers is surging and is more beloved than people expected. I think Sessa is also solidly in for Oscar, and Giamatti in good standing for the win.

Huller is proving to be strong. I think the best actress race at both BAFTA and Oscar will be between her and Stone, with Stone the favorite at Oscar and Huller the favorite in Britain. Does she also get into supporting? She could, but with Ferrera pushing in I think they're running out of room. I also am not erasing the possibility of Gladstone getting into supporting, rather than lead. And Gladstone's chances of victory in lead are slipping by the day. She'll need to win SAG to remain competitive.

With all the love for Anatomy of a Fall at the Globes and now BAFTA, anyone starting to think best supporting actor, a category that seems ripe for a surprise beyond Sessa, will see one of the Anatomy of a Fall actors like Swann Arlaud or Milo Machado Graner pop up?

[Edwin]

@Stephen C: Other than the BAFTA snub, how do you figure Gladstone’s chances keep slipping? She won the Golden Globe in her category, and Killers of the Flower Moon did better overall with SAG than Poor Things did, which indicates she may be the frontrunner to win there. If Stone wins SAG, then absolutely she’ll be the frontrunner, but I don’t think we’ll know for sure until then, and right now I’d still give the advantage to Gladstone. Remember that Jessica Chastain and Regina King were able to win the Oscar recently despite BAFTA snubs, so missing out here isn’t a blow she can’t recover from.

[Stephen C]

@Edwin I don’t think we could really say “other than the BAFTA snub.” It’s a big snub and it hurts her chances, we can’t erase it. She did win the Globe in her category but so did Stone, and Stone beat her at Critics Choice. Thus I think it’s very fair to say Gladstone’s chances of a win have slipped, but I did point out in my original post that a SAG win could change that. My prediction is still that Stone wins SAG and Huller wins BAFTA. But we will see in due time. That’s the fun of it.

As for your Chastain and King examples, they were from films that otherwise didn’t get much BAFTA love (I think Beale Street might have gotten a couple nods?) and really not much awards love outside those performances throughout their seasons. BAFTA voters clearly watched and loved KILLERS OF THE FLOWERS MOON, and still didn’t vote for Gladstone in high enough numbers. That tells us there is not much passion for her performance from a big industry group. Will there be more passion in a US-based awards body? Yes, but how much is the question.

[Lynn Lee]

My main takeaway from this is Bradley Cooper / Maestro's Oscar hopes remain alive! Also feeling the pain for Andrew Scott. Though yes, I know the BAFTA nomination process for acting is weird and by that token not really predictive of what will happen with Oscar.