Team Experience Oscar Prediction: Final Scores

by Cláudio Alves

No one predicted I'M STILL HERE in Best Picture. | © Sony Pictures Classics

We're still reeling from this morning's Oscar nominations announcement but it's time to check predictions and assess the numbers. Like last year, various members of the Team Experience put forward their best guesses. While the point of this exercise is to see how different folks see the race, it's also a little competition of sorts, with a pundit ranking at the end. Overall, our collection of writers did better than last year, averaging a 75% success rate when excluding those tricky short film categories. These predictions also help us grasp what the day's big surprises truly were, both in terms of shocking selections or notorious snubs. Without further ado, here's the final score…

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Team Experience: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions!

by Cláudio Alves

We predict EMILIA PÉREZ is about to make Oscar history.

With the Oscar nominations mere hours away, it's time to present the Team Experience's final predictions. Like last time, you get each writer's individual guesses, followed by an aggregate collective prediction. Tallying everything up, the Team Experience believes Emilia Pérez will be the nomination leader with eleven mentions, which would make it the most nominated non-English-language film of all time. The musical is closely followed by The Brutalist and Conclave, which have nine each. We also see Wicked scoring eight categories, while Dune: Part Two settles for seven. In the 2023/4 season, we averaged 70% correct predictions, with Nathaniel and I leading the pack with 73% accuracy. Time will tell what pundit claims victory this year…

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Which International Feature Films will get into Best Picture?

by Juan Carlos Ojano

96 years of Oscars, 14 international feaure films nominated for Best Picture.

While some awards bodies have already commenced the season, Best Picture is still very much an open race. One of the statistics many predictors consider is the presence of international feature films in the category. Since 2018’s Roma - and save 2020, where Another Round even got into Director - every Best Picture lineup has included one. Last year, history was made, when two international features making it in, with Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest.

Perhaps this is one of the effects of the inclusivity efforts the Academy has initiated post-#OscarsSoWhite, where they included more world artists into their membership. This year, which international feature films will stand a chance of getting into this year’s Best Picture roster? Consider...

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Who came in sixth at the 96th Academy Awards?

by Cláudio Alves

The last minute campaign for ORIGIN didn't work. But did the film come close to a nomination?

Every year, the aftermath of the Oscar nominations announcement is full of talk about "snubs," much outrage, speculation on who was closest to the lineup and which of the nominees took that last spot. This season, the reactions reached rare levels, igniting pure chaos all over social media and even prestige publications. Four days after it began, it seems like the animus is starting to quiet down – or maybe that's just wishful thinking. Alas, as reason's regained, here's hoping the conversation can be had with a bit more level-headedness and a little less fire. Hold that thought, for I've prepared a collection of polls about every one of the year's Oscar races so that The Film Experience readers can decide for themselves.

From Director to Live-Action Short, let's vote on who was the likelier sixth-placer, so close to the nomination but still left looking from the outside in. And, of course, in Best Picture, one must figure out what movie placed eleventh…

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Team Experience Oscar Prediction Scores

By: Christopher James

Happy Oscar Morning! The Academy handed out their nominations, giving plenty to Oppenheimer (13 nominations), Poor Things (11 nominations), Killers of the Flower Moon (10 nominations) and many others. If you stuck with the same Best Picture nominees throughout the ballot, you likely did pretty all right. After sifting through all of the Oscar nominations, one turns their attention to their predictions. How many did I get right?

The Film Experience team published a chart of their predictions yesterday. Overall, the team did a strong job predicting the Oscar nominees, getting an average of 70% correct. So who wins the ultimate bragging rights? Also, what were the biggest surprises and snubs of the morning, based on The Film Experience team’s predictions?

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